FNUS72 KJAX 090917
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR FAVER-DYKES SP...FLA PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
517 AM EDT THU APR 9 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON APRIL 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM
EDT THIS EVENING INLAND FROM THE FIRE SITE DUE TO DURATIONS OF LOW
RH...

.DISCUSSION...A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE OVER SOUTH FLORIDA AND THE WESTERN
ATLANTIC WILL SHIFT EAST. MOISTURE WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE TODAY BUT
TEMPERATURES WILL BE MUCH WARMER...AND LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES ARE LIKELY FOR PORTIONS OF INLAND NORTHEAST FLORIDA.
HUMIDITY VALUES MAY DROP BRIEFLY TO NEAR 35 PERCENT AT THE FIRE SITE
BY THIS AFTERNOON BUT DURATIONS WILL BE BRIEF. HUMIDITY VALUES ARE
EXPECTED TO BE ABOVE CRITICAL VALUES BY FRIDAY. WINDS TODAY WILL BE
MOSTLY BELOW 15 MPH BUT A FEW GUSTS OVER 15 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH AN
AFTERNOON SEABREEZE. STRONGER SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE ANTICIPATED ON
FRIDAY WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH ALONG WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
DISPERSION LEVELS WILL ALSO BE HIGH ON FRIDAY...WITH INDICES NEAR 70
POSSIBLE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78.
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700-3900 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
                    14 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....20.

TIME (EDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........10     25     40     40
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............64     72     75     76
RH..............62     49     44     44
20 FT WIND......SW 5   SW 5   S 6    SE 7
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....1000   2500   3900   3900
TRANSPORT WIND..W 13   W 14   SW 5   SW 5
LAL.............1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57.
MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-2700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-800 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 9 TO 18 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....8.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........48     55     55     45     36     36
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............75     70     66     63     62     60
RH..............49     60     68     72     75     80
20 FT WIND......SSE 8  S 10   S 9    S 8    S 6    S 6
20 FT WIND GUST.15     20     15     15     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....2700   1400   1400   900    400    400
TRANSPORT WIND..S 14   S 18   S 18   S 16   SW 14  SW 14
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81.
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500-3600 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 9 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO 20 MPH EARLY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....70.

$$
FORECASTER...CARROLL
REQUESTED BY...R  MULHOLLAND
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090409.FAVER.01/JAX