FNUS72 KTAE 091228
FWSTAE

SPOT FORECAST FOR BURN UNIT 78...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
828 AM EDT THU APR 9 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON APRIL 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT (850)942-8835

.DISCUSSION...SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL DEVELOP THROUGH THE DAY AHEAD OF
AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WELL TO OUR WEST. THE FLOW OFF THE WATERS
OF THE NORTHERN GULF WILL HELP KEEP CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS FROM BEING ACHIEVED WITH MINIMUM AFTERNOON RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES REACHING THE MIDDLE 40S. SOUTH OR SOUTHWEST FLOW
WILL INCREASE FURTHER INTO THE DAY ON FRIDAY AS THE FRONT BEGINS
TO EDGE CLOSER. DESPITE A FEW MORE CLOUDS AND HIGHER MOISTURE
LEVELS...RAIN CHANCES STILL LOOK LOW THROUGH THE DAYLIGHT HOURS
OF FRIDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THROUGH PASSING HIGH CLOUDS
                    (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH INCREASING TO 7 TO 10
                    MPH IN THE LATE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 9
                    TO 13 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......AROUND 500 FT AGL EARLY THIS MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO BETWEEN 3500 AND 3800 FT AGL BY
                    MID TO LATE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 5 MPH EARLY THIS MORNING...INCREASING
                    TO 8 TO 10 MPH LATER THIS MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 12 TO 15 MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION..........AROUND 10 EARLY THIS MORNING...THEN INCREASING
                    TO BETWEEN 55 AND 60 DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.


TIME (EDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............60     69     73     76     76     71
RH..............82     62     54     49     50     59
20 FT WIND......S 5    S 8    S 10   S 11   S 11   S 10
20 FT WIND GUST.       10     15     16     16     15

$$
FORECASTER...MROCZKA
REQUESTED BY...DAVID QUISENBERRY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090409.BURNU.01/TAE