FNUS75 KGJT 100331
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR EAST VAIL...USFS, WRNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
931 PM MDT THU APR 9 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON APRIL 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...FLAT RIDGE OVER THE FIRE SITE WILL BREAK DOWN TODAY
AS A STORM MOVING ACROSS THE DESERT SOUTHWEST CAUSES FLOW TO BACK
TO THE SOUTH. INSTABILITY ASSOCIATED WITH RESIDUAL MOISTURE WILL
BRING A FEW SHOWERS TO THE HIGHER TERRAIN EAST OF THE FIRE SITE.
SHOWER CHANCES WILL TREND UPWARD TONIGHT AND INTO SATURDAY AS THE
STORM MOVES ACROSS THE FOUR CORNERS AND OVER THE REGION ON
SATURDAY.

.TODAY (THROUGH SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%). ISOLATED SHOWERS
    OVER HIGHER TERRAIN EAST OF THE FIRE SITE
    AFTER 1300.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....43-48 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE 2 TO 5 MPH THROUGH 0900...THEN
    BECOMING UPSLOPE 5 TO 10 MPH BY 1200.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING VERY GOOD BY 1400.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 8300 FT AGL BY 1400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE 5 MPH THROUGH 0900...THEN BECOMING
    SOUTHWEST 15 MPH BY 1200.

.TONIGHT (AFTER SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). ISOLATED SHOWERS IN
    THE EVENING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AFTER
    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....19-24 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE 3 TO 6 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (11900-15300 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE 5 MPH.

.OUTLOOK FOR SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (80-90%). SCATTERED SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....36-41 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING GOOD BY 1400.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 5000 FT AGL BY 1400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....BECOMING SOUTH 18 MPH BY 1200.

$$

FORECASTER...NORV LARSON
REQUESTED BY...TODD KING
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090410.EASTV.01/GJT