FNUS73 KAPX 131330
FWSAPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR KNUTH...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
930 AM EDT MON APR 13 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1600 EDT ON APRIL 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...EXPECT A HIGH LEVEL OVERCAST TODAY...ALONG WITH AN EAST
WIND OFF LAKE HURON.  THIS WILL TEND TO KEEP TEMPERATURES DOWN THIS
AFTERNOON AND RELATIVE HUMIDITIES A BIT HIGHER THAN FARTHER INLAND.
THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE FOR SOME LIGHT PRECIPITATION MOVING UP FROM
THE SOUTH TONIGHT...BUT IS NOT EXPECTED TO AMOUNT TO MUCH.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........42 AT IGNITION...MAX 43.
RH..................35 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS EAST AT 11 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    EAST  10 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 20 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2000-2400 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (400) AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD (400).

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    AND SNOW LATE IN THE EVENING.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 33.
RH..................MAX 72 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MIN POOR(100).

$$
FORECASTER...JOHN BORIS
REQUESTED BY...BSTEARNS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090413.KNUTH.01/APX