FNUS71 KBGM 131426 FWSBGM SPOT FORECAST FOR HUNTS POND...NYS FOREST RANGERS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY 1026 AM EDT MON APR 13 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON APRIL 13. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... DRY WEATHER TODAY WITH INCREASING HIGH CLOUDS. AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL DECREASE TO 15 TO 20 PERCENT IN THE BURN AREA. WINDS WILL BE NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH GUSTING NEAR 15 MPH LATE THIS MORNING...BUT TEND TO LOSE THE GUSTINESS DURING THE AFTERNOON. BURN CONDITIONS RIPE FOR GOOD IGNITION DUE TO DRYNESS...BUT WELL BELOW RED FLAG DUE TO LIGHTER WIND SPEEDS. NORTHWEST WIND FLOW SHOULD KEEP SMOKE AWAY FROM BUTTERMILK FALLS RD. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52. MIN HUMIDITY........19 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 13 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3200-5100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 18 TO 25 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH LATE. SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52. MIN HUMIDITY........19 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 13 MPH. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......3200-5100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 18 TO 25 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH LATE. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO GOOD (38600-44100 KNOT-FT). TIME (EDT) 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).............8 10 12 21 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................40 47 51 52 RH..................36 24 20 19 20 FT WIND..........NW 6 NW 8 NW 8 NW 7 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 10 MIX HGT (FT)........4400 4400 5100 4500 TRANSPORT WIND......NW 21 NW 21 NW 18 NW 15 LAL.................1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 VRATE KT-FT/1000....44 44 39 39 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 30. MAX HUMIDITY........63-92 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......2900-4500 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300-1500 FT AGL LATE IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 13 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTH 3 TO 5 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH LATE. SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 30. MAX HUMIDITY........63-92 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......2900-4500 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300-1500 FT AGL LATE IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 13 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTH 3 TO 5 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH LATE. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (7200-38600 KNOT-FT). TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............25 31 38 48 55 54 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................50 45 40 37 33 31 RH..................20 26 33 40 49 56 20 FT WIND..........NW 6 NW 4 N 2 N 2 E 2 E 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)........4500 2900 2900 1500 800 800 TRANSPORT WIND......NW 15 NW 13 NW 13 N 5 N 3 N 3 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 5 5 5 5 5 VRATE KT-FT/1000....39 39 39 39 7 7 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56. MIN HUMIDITY........26 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING EAST 5 TO 8 MPH. SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56. MIN HUMIDITY........26 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING EAST 5 TO 8 MPH. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1500 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5400-6100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 12 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (7200-35700 KNOT-FT). TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............52 50 49 47 44 43 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................30 32 41 49 54 56 RH..................60 58 42 34 28 26 20 FT WIND..........E 2 E 4 E 5 E 5 E 5 E 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)........300 1500 1500 3700 6100 6100 TRANSPORT WIND......SE 5 SE 8 SE 8 SE 10 SE 12 SE 12 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 4 4 4 VRATE KT-FT/1000....7 7 7 7 36 36 $$ FORECASTER...BREWSTER REQUESTED BY...JIM PRUNOSKE TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090413.HUNTS.01/BGM