FNUS71 KCTP 122120 FWSCTP SPOT FORECAST FOR BUZZARD SWAMP 09...USFS ALLEGHENY NATIONAL FOREST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 520 PM EDT SUN APR 12 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON APRIL 13. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE. .DISCUSSION... ...DIMINISHING WILDFIRE THREAT ON MONDAY... A VERY DRY AIRMASS WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA ON MONDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTHWARD INTO PENNSYLVANIA FROM CANADA. AFTERNOON MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ON MONDAY ARE LIKELY TO DIP TO AROUND 25 PERCENT. HOWEVER...WINDS WILL BE MUCH LIGHTER ON MONDAY THAN THEY WERE TODAY. SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL AVERAGE ONLY AROUND 5 MPH. LOW PRESSURE WILL APPROACH FROM THE OHIO VALLEY ON TUESDAY. EXPECT PRECIPITATION FROM THIS SYSTEM TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...WITH SOME WET SNOW EVEN POSSIBLE ACROSS THE RIDGE TOPS LATE TUESDAY NIGHT/WED MORNING. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. TEMPERATURE.........32 AT IGNITION...MAX 55. RH..................54 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 25 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS EAST AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 7 TO 9 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........8 14 18 21 21 28 43 57 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............32 36 40 44 48 52 52 50 RH..............54 45 39 33 28 25 26 29 20 FT WIND DIR..E E E SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 TRANSP WIND DIR.E SE SE SE SE SE SE S TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 7 8 9 9 9 9 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 .MONDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 33. RH..................MAX 84 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 10 TO 17 MPH...INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........69 81 87 94 100 100 WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............49 45 43 42 40 37 RH..............31 36 42 48 55 66 20 FT WIND......SE 5 E 5 E 5 E 5 E 5 E 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 TRANSPORT WIND..S 10 SE 13 SE 15 SE 17 SE 22 SE 24 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 4 2 2 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY EARLY IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 53. RH..................MIN 47 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING WINDS........ HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........100 100 99 98 96 95 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............35 37 42 47 49 52 RH..............78 76 64 55 51 47 20 FT WIND......E 6 E 7 E 7 E 7 E 7 E 8 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 15 TRANSPORT WIND..M M M M M M LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 2 $$ FORECASTER...FITZGERALD REQUESTED BY...GARY KOLESAR TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090413.BUZZA.01/CTP