FNUS73 KGRR 131640
FWSGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR DANAHER CREEK 1...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1240 PM EDT MON APR 13 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1500 EDT ON APRIL 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A SLOW MOVING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING RAIN SHOWERS TO AREAS
SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 96 THIS AFTERNOON. THE RAIN WILL TRY TO SPREAD
INTO CENTRAL LOWER MICHIGAN THIS EVENING. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS
WILL BE POSSIBLE AFTER DARK AND THROUGH THE DAY ON TUESDAY.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE ON THE LIGHT SIDE...GENERALLY LESS THAN
TWO TENTHS OF AN INCH. DRY AIR ENTRENCHED ACROSS THE REGION SHOULD
KEEP RAINFALL AMOUNTS FAIRLY LIGHT.

IT WILL BE BREEZY THIS AFTERNOON WITH EAST WINDS OF 10 TO 16 MPH
WITH GUSTS AT TIMES TO 25 MPH. EAST WINDS TONIGHT WILL BE A BIT
LESS BREEZY...BUT WILL SUSTAIN AT 10 TO 15 MPH.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........43 AT IGNITION...MAX 44.
RH..................40 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS EAST AT 13 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    EAST WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 16 TO 24 MPH INCREASING TO 23 TO 28 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2600-3100
                    FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (100-400 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT /700 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION.
                    MAX...EXCELLENT /700 KNOT-FT/.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
                    THROUGH THE NIGHT...POSSIBLY MIXED AT TIMES
                    WITH SNOW.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 33.
RH..................MAX 61 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 20 TO 25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-1800 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (100-400 KNOT-FT).

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 50.
RH..................MIN 40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 18 TO 25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800-4300 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO EXCELLENT (200-600 KNOT-FT) INCREASING
                    TO EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT (800-1000 KNOT-FT) IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...DUKE
REQUESTED BY...JOHN HUSCHKE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090413.DANAH.01/GRR