FNUS73 KJKL 131404 FWSJKL SPOT FORECAST FOR WILDLIFE OPENING...USDA FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 1004 AM EDT MON APR 13 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EDT ON APRIL 13. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM NEAR MEMPHIS WILL MOVE SLOWLY NORTHEAST AND SLOWLY PUSH A COLD FRONT TOWARDS EASTERN KENTUCKY. A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT ALONG WITH STRONGER WINDS HIGHER IN THE ATMOSPHERE WILL ALLOW FOR SOME SOUTHERLY WIND GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. ADDITIONALLY...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY FORM THIS AFTERNOON IN THE WARM AIR OUT AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT. THE GREATEST THREAT FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE IN THE EARLY EVENING TONIGHT. THE WEATHER WILL REMAIN UNSETTLED WITH PERIODS OF SHOWERS CONTINUING THROUGH WEDNESDAY. AFTER WEDNESDAY...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN AND WE CAN EXPECT SOME 70 DEGREE DRY DAYS THROUGH SATURDAY. THIS MAY BE AN OPPORTUNITY TO GET IN SOME PRESCRIBED BURNS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....59 AT IGNITION...MAX 65. MIN HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 52 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 8-11 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 14 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTH 12 TO 17 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTH 12 TO 17 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. POP.................50 PERCENT. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 3. MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 30 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....59. TIME (EDT) NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........85 81 79 78 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............59 63 64 64 RH..............65 63 62 62 20 FT WIND......S 10 S 9 S 12 S 10 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 20 20 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY EARLY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE NIGHT...THEN RAIN SHOWERS TOWARDS DAWN. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 51. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 83 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH. RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH. POP.................80 PERCENT. LAL.................2. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM 6 AM SKY (%).........80 86 94 100 99 97 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY DEFNTE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............61 59 57 55 54 53 RH..............64 69 73 75 78 81 20 FT WIND......S 9 S 8 S 6 S 6 S 6 SW 6 20 FT WIND GUST.15 10 10 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 3 3 3 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE DAY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 56. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 64 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. SURROUNDING RIDGE...WEST 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. RIDGETOP WIND.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. POP.................80 PERCENT. LAL.................2 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 20 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....76. TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........95 96 97 98 94 89 WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE LIKELY SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............52 52 52 53 54 53 RH..............83 82 79 73 67 64 20 FT WIND......W 6 W 5 W 6 W 8 W 9 W 9 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 15 20 15 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 2 $$ FORECASTER...GEOGERIAN REQUESTED BY...ROBIN ACCIARDO TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090413.WILDL.01/JKL