FNUS71 KPBZ 131748
FWSPBZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR BUZZARD SWAMP II...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
148 PM EDT MON APR 13 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1430 EDT ON APRIL 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

A STORM SYSTEM WILL SLOWLY MOVE THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY OVER THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS SYSTEM WILL PROVIDE THE RISK FOR
SHOWERS BEGINNING LATER TODAY AND CONTINUING THROUGH EARLY
WEDNESDAY. DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE END OF THE WEEK.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........47 AT IGNITION...MAX 52.
RH..................29 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 7 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 8
                    MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2500-2900
                    FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 14 TO 16 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN A CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE. PATCHY FOG LATE
                    IN THE EVENING.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 34.
RH..................MAX 82 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-2100 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 16 TO 20 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING. SHOWERS LIKELY LATE IN THE MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 47.
RH..................MIN 65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 10 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25
                    MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-1700 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 18 TO 25 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...11
REQUESTED BY...GARY KOLESAR
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090413.BUZZA.02/PBZ