FNUS75 KBOU 140004 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR JUNCTION BUTTE...BLM NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 604 PM MDT MON APR 13 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...FLOW ALOFT WILL BE INCREASING OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST TUESDAY. MOISTURE WILL INCREASE AS WELL MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON. LOWER LEVELS WILL BE QUITE DRY THOUGH...SO ONLY EXPECT HIGH BASED SHOWERS BRINGING LITTLE TO NO RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS. RH VALUES WILL BE ABOUT 4-6 PERCENT DRIER AND TEMPERATURES ABOUT 3-5 DEGREES WARMER. MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE INCREASING TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY BRINGING A BETTER CHANCE FOR PRECIP TO REACH THE GROUND. INCREASED MOISTURE AND CLOUDS WILL BRING COOLER TEMPERATURE AND HIGHER HUMIDITIES WEDNESDAY. LOOKING FOR A STRONG WEATHER SYSTEM TO MOVE IN THURSDAY AFTERNOON BRINGING MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%) UNTIL 0300...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....24. MAX HUMIDITY........100%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 8-12 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5-16 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN SOUTH 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. 200-400 FT AGL AFTER 2100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....56. MIN HUMIDITY........25%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHWEST 13-19 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 4-12 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTH 17-28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1600 FT AGL UNTIL 1100. 7800-8800 FT AGL AFTER 1400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. EXCELLENT AFTER 1500. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TUESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....26. MAX HUMIDITY........100%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 8-10 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16-24 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN SOUTHEAST 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......7800 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. 200-400 FT AGL AFTER 2400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2200. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....52. MIN HUMIDITY........31%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTH 8-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1800 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 5200-6200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. GOOD AFTER 1200. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN UNTIL 0600. CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. .FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS AROUND 40. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1800...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR JUNCTION BUTTE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 04/13-17 48 0 50 29 SW 8 1 6209 W 17 93952 G 04/13-18 42 1 47 32 SW 8 8 2 1 W23 5461 W 17 81516 G 04/13-19 42 1 45 36 SW 7 1 3735 W 14 54826 F 04/13-20 42 1 41 44 SW 6 1 2008 W 9 28136 P 04/13-21 45 1 36 57 SW 5 5 2 1 W26 282 SW 6 1446 P 04/13-22 45 1 37 58 SW 5 1 310 SW 6 1442 P 04/13-23 45 1 35 66 S 3 1 337 SW 5 1438 P 04/14-00 44 1 34 73 S 3 3 2 1 W24 365 SW 5 1434 P 04/14-01 44 1 32 79 S 3 1 334 S 5 1214 P 04/14-02 44 1 31 83 SE 2 1 303 S 3 994 P 04/14-03 61 1 29 88 SE 2 2 2 1 W28 272 S 3 774 P 04/14-04 61 1 28 90 SE 2 1 251 SE 3 747 P 04/14-05 61 1 27 93 SE 3 1 231 SE 3 719 P 04/14-06 62 1 25 98 E 3 3 2 1 W26 210 SE 3 691 P 04/14-07 62 1 24 100 E 3 1 267 SE 5 972 P 04/14-08 62 1 26 95 SE 3 1 325 SE 5 1253 P 04/14-09 62 1 31 79 SE 3 3 2 1 W29 382 SE 5 1534 P 04/14-10 62 1 35 64 SE 3 1 1986 SE 8 25662 P 04/14-11 62 1 41 50 S 5 1 3589 S 13 49790 F 04/14-12 68 20 47 37 S 6 6 2 1 SW35 5192 S 16 73918 G 04/14-13 68 20 51 30 S 9 1 6363 S 21 120661 V 04/14-14 68 20 53 26 SW 13 1 7535 S 24 167403 E 04/14-15 68 20 55 26 SW 15 24 2 1 SW38 8706 S 29 214145 E 04/14-16 68 20 56 25 SW 16 1 8437 SW 29 211269 E 04/14-17 68 20 56 26 SW 16 1 8168 SW 30 208392 E 04/14-18 73 31 53 29 SW 9 9 2 1 SW48 7898 SW 30 205515 E 04/14-19 73 31 50 36 S 8 1 6028 SW 26 150995 E 04/14-20 73 31 45 47 S 7 1 4158 SW 24 96478 G 04/14-21 73 31 41 58 SE 6 6 2 1 SW15 2287 S 21 41962 F 04/14-22 73 31 39 65 SE 5 1 1663 S 17 29063 P 04/14-23 73 31 38 70 SE 5 1 1039 S 13 16164 P 04/15-00 73 31 36 75 SE 5 5 2 1 SW33 414 S 9 3265 P 04/15-01 73 31 34 82 SE 5 1 361 S 8 2537 P 04/15-02 73 31 33 85 E 6 1 309 SE 6 1809 P 04/15-03 73 31 31 90 E 6 6 2 1 S45 256 SE 5 1081 P 04/15-04 73 31 30 95 E 5 1 253 SE 5 948 P 04/15-05 73 31 29 100 SE 3 1 250 S 3 814 P 04/15-06 87 10 27 100 SE 2 2 2 1 S43 247 S 3 681 P 04/15-07 87 10 26 100 SE 2 1 378 S 3 1178 P 04/15-08 87 10 28 100 SE 2 1 508 S 3 1676 P 04/15-09 87 10 32 84 SE 3 3 2 1 SW48 638 S 3 2174 P 04/15-10 87 10 36 70 SE 5 1 2171 S 8 23638 P 04/15-11 87 10 41 55 S 7 1 3704 S 12 45102 F 04/15-12 87 31 45 46 S 8 8 2 1 SW37 5236 SW 15 66566 G 04/15-13 87 31 48 40 S 8 1 5714 S 14 67064 G 04/15-14 87 31 50 35 S 7 1 6192 S 13 67561 G 04/15-15 87 31 52 33 S 7 7 2 1 S23 6671 S 12 68059 G 04/15-16 87 31 52 32 S 8 1 6257 S 13 66449 G 04/15-17 87 31 52 31 S 8 1 5844 S 13 64838 G 04/15-18 80 52 50 34 SW 9 9 2 1 S23 5430 S 14 63228 G 04/15-19 80 52 47 38 S 9 1 3736 S 12 43057 F 04/15-20 80 52 42 46 S 8 1 2041 S 10 22885 P 04/15-21 80 52 39 55 S 7 7 2 1 S24 347 S 9 2714 P 04/15-22 80 52 37 61 SE 6 1 337 S 8 2328 P 04/15-23 80 52 35 68 E 5 1 328 SE 7 1941 P 04/16-00 80 52 34 74 E 3 3 2 1 S24 319 SE 6 1555 P 04/16-01 80 52 32 81 E 3 1 318 S 5 1305 P 04/16-02 80 52 31 86 SE 2 1 317 S 3 1056 P 04/16-03 80 52 29 92 SE 2 2 2 1 S46 316 S 3 806 P 04/16-04 80 52 28 97 S 3 1 292 S 2 708 P 04/16-05 80 52 27 100 S 3 1 268 S 2 611 P 04/16-06 84 48 25 100 S 3 3 2 1 S45 244 S 2 513 P 04/16-07 84 48 24 100 S 3 1 343 SE 3 993 P 04/16-08 84 48 25 100 E 3 1 441 E 3 1474 P 04/16-09 84 48 27 92 NE 5 5 2 1 SE40 540 NE 5 1955 P 04/16-10 84 48 30 81 NE 8 1 643 NE 9 5894 P 04/16-11 84 48 32 70 E 13 1 746 E 14 9833 P 04/16-12 84 48 35 63 E 16 25 2 1 SE46 849 E 18 13772 P 04/16-13 84 48 36 59 E 15 1 2256 E 21 44714 F 04/16-14 84 48 38 55 SE 13 1 3663 SE 22 75656 G 04/16-15 84 48 39 54 SE 10 10 2 1 SE49 5070 SE 24 106598 V 04/16-16 84 48 39 55 S 10 1 5084 S 18 82539 G 04/16-17 84 48 39 55 SW 10 1 5098 SW 13 58479 F 04/16-18 84 39 37 59 W 10 10 2 SE45 5112 W 8 34420 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...JUSTIN KINCAID REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090414.JUNCT.01/BOU