FNUS75 KBOU 132239 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR WHITE RANCH BROADCAST...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 439 PM MDT MON APR 13 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...FLOW ALOFT WILL INCREASE OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST TUESDAY. MOISTURE WILL INCREASE AS WELL MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON. LOWER LEVELS WILL BE QUITE DRY THOUGH...SO ONLY EXPECT HIGH BASED SHOWERS BRINGING LITTLE TO NO RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS. RH VALUES WILL BE ABOUT 4-6 PERCENT DRIER AND TEMPERATURES ABOUT 4-6 DEGREES WARMER. AIRMASS UNSTABLE ENOUGH TO PRODUCE A FEW THUNDERSTORMS...BEST CHANCE TO SEE ANYTHING WOULD BE IN THE AFTERNOON. SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE INCREASING TUESDAY NIGHT. WEDNESDAY WILL SEE ABOUT THE SAME WEATHER CONDITIONS. LOOKING FOR A STRONG WEATHER SYSTEM TO MOVE IN THURSDAY AFTERNOON. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....38. MAX HUMIDITY........45%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 12-20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH BECOMING DOWNSLOPE 4-10 MPH AFTER 2200. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4000-5000 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN 400-1400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2000. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....59. MIN HUMIDITY........19%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE 4-10 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN SOUTH 12-18 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 4-12 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 13-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 8200-9200 FT AGL AFTER 1300. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. EXCELLENT AFTER 1500. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TUESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....40. MAX HUMIDITY........49%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 13-23 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......8200 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. 200-800 FT AGL AFTER 2100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....55. MIN HUMIDITY........30%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 8-13 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN EAST 11-17 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2200 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 6600-7400 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200. VERY GOOD AFTER 1600. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN UNTIL 1800. CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. .FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 40. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1800...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR WHITE RANCH BROADCAST. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 04/13-15 41 0 52 29 W 12 12 4 1 NW21 7391 W 13 79016 G 04/13-16 41 0 52 28 W 14 1 6658 W 14 76681 G 04/13-17 41 0 51 28 W 15 1 5925 W 15 74345 G 04/13-18 48 0 50 29 W 16 25 3 1 W17 5192 W 16 72009 G 04/13-19 48 0 49 30 W 16 1 3764 W 17 53292 F 04/13-20 48 0 47 33 W 15 1 2336 W 18 34574 P 04/13-21 32 0 44 37 W 15 24 3 1 W17 909 W 20 15856 P 04/13-22 32 0 44 38 W 16 1 736 W 18 12297 P 04/13-23 32 0 43 40 W 16 1 564 W 17 8738 P 04/14-00 37 0 41 43 W 17 28 3 1 W17 392 W 15 5179 P 04/14-01 37 0 41 43 W 17 1 348 W 15 4487 P 04/14-02 37 0 40 44 W 16 1 304 W 14 3794 P 04/14-03 37 0 40 42 W 15 24 3 1 W21 260 W 14 3102 P 04/14-04 37 0 39 44 W 14 1 236 W 13 2553 P 04/14-05 37 0 38 45 W 12 1 212 W 10 2005 P 04/14-06 52 0 38 43 W 10 10 3 1 W20 188 W 9 1456 P 04/14-07 52 0 38 43 SW 7 1 1433 W 8 7864 P 04/14-08 52 0 42 39 S 5 1 2677 SW 7 14272 P 04/14-09 52 0 46 35 S 3 3 3 1 W23 3921 SW 6 20680 P 04/14-10 52 0 48 31 S 5 1 4653 SW 9 38282 P 04/14-11 52 0 51 28 S 8 1 5385 SW 12 55885 F 04/14-12 61 10 51 27 S 10 10 3 2 SW26 6117 SW 14 73488 G 04/14-13 61 10 53 25 S 12 2 7307 S 16 107128 V 04/14-14 61 10 55 22 S 12 2 8498 S 18 140768 V 04/14-15 61 20 57 21 S 13 13 3 3 SW31 9689 S 21 174407 E 04/14-16 61 20 56 21 S 15 3 9204 S 23 178320 E 04/14-17 61 20 57 21 SW 17 3 8720 SW 24 182234 E 04/14-18 57 18 56 28 S 21 33 3 1 SW30 8235 SW 26 186147 E 04/14-19 57 18 52 33 S 20 1 5749 SW 25 129292 V 04/14-20 57 18 49 38 SW 18 1 3262 SW 24 72439 G 04/14-21 57 18 46 42 SW 17 28 3 1 SW17 776 SW 23 15587 P 04/14-22 57 18 46 43 SW 17 1 624 SW 22 12084 P 04/14-23 57 18 45 44 SW 16 1 473 SW 20 8580 P 04/15-00 57 18 43 45 SW 16 25 3 1 SW28 322 SW 18 5077 P 04/15-01 57 18 42 46 SW 16 1 307 SW 17 4585 P 04/15-02 57 18 42 47 SW 15 1 293 SW 16 4092 P 04/15-03 57 18 42 45 SW 15 24 3 1 SW46 278 SW 15 3600 P 04/15-04 57 18 41 47 SW 15 1 255 SW 14 3192 P 04/15-05 57 18 40 49 SW 14 1 232 SW 14 2785 P 04/15-06 53 8 40 49 SW 13 13 3 1 SW37 209 SW 13 2378 P 04/15-07 53 8 40 48 W 9 1 1022 SW 12 8510 P 04/15-08 53 8 43 44 W 6 1 1834 W 10 14643 P 04/15-09 53 8 47 39 NW 3 3 3 1 SW33 2647 W 9 20775 P 04/15-10 53 8 50 35 N 5 1 4054 SW 9 29893 P 04/15-11 53 8 52 33 E 7 1 5461 S 8 39011 P 04/15-12 62 23 52 34 E 9 9 3 1 SW32 6868 S 8 48129 F 04/15-13 62 23 52 33 SE 8 1 7063 S 10 61191 G 04/15-14 62 23 53 32 SE 7 1 7257 S 12 74254 G 04/15-15 62 23 55 30 SE 7 7 3 1 S21 7452 S 14 87316 G 04/15-16 62 23 54 31 S 12 1 7013 S 17 103016 V 04/15-17 62 23 55 31 S 17 1 6573 S 22 118715 V 04/15-18 76 28 54 32 S 22 35 3 1 S26 6134 SW 25 134415 V 04/15-19 76 28 49 38 SW 24 1 4196 SW 24 91514 G 04/15-20 76 28 45 44 SW 24 1 2257 SW 22 48613 F 04/15-21 76 28 42 48 SW 23 37 4 1 S24 319 SW 21 5713 P 04/15-22 76 28 41 49 SW 21 1 295 SW 20 5056 P 04/15-23 76 28 40 51 SW 18 1 272 SW 18 4400 P 04/16-00 76 28 38 54 SW 16 25 3 1 S26 248 SW 17 3744 P 04/16-01 76 28 37 56 SW 14 1 254 SW 15 3318 P 04/16-02 76 28 36 58 SW 13 1 260 SW 13 2892 P 04/16-03 76 28 37 56 SW 10 10 3 1 S32 266 SW 10 2466 P 04/16-04 76 28 36 59 SW 9 1 274 SW 9 2118 P 04/16-05 76 28 34 62 SW 8 1 283 SW 7 1770 P 04/16-06 80 41 34 62 SW 7 7 3 1 S43 292 SW 6 1423 P 04/16-07 80 41 35 61 S 7 1 1202 S 6 7128 P 04/16-08 80 41 36 58 E 7 1 2111 SE 7 12833 P 04/16-09 80 41 38 54 NE 8 8 3 1 S38 3021 SE 7 18538 P 04/16-10 80 41 40 51 NE 8 1 3583 SE 10 34811 P 04/16-11 80 41 41 48 NE 9 1 4144 E 14 51083 F 04/16-12 80 41 41 49 NE 9 9 3 1 S48 4706 E 16 67355 G 04/16-13 80 41 41 49 NE 10 1 4769 E 18 78283 G 04/16-14 80 41 42 48 N 12 1 4832 E 21 89211 G 04/16-15 80 41 43 47 N 13 13 3 1 SE52 4895 E 23 100140 V 04/16-16 80 41 42 48 N 13 1 4825 E 22 91820 G 04/16-17 80 41 42 48 N 13 1 4755 E 21 83501 G 04/16-18 80 37 42 49 N 13 13 3 SE48 4684 E 18 75181 G KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...ALLEN GALLAMORE REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090414.WHITE.01/BOU