FNUS73 KFSD 141255 FWSFSD SPOT FORECAST FOR KIRCHNER PRAIRIE WMA...IOWA DNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD 755 AM CDT TUE APR 14 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...WATCH FOR DRY RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AGAIN TODAY IN SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA AND NORTHWEST IOWA... .DISCUSSION... UPDATED FORECAST... SYNOPTIC WISE...WE HAVE LOW PRESSURE DEPARTING THIS AREA IN THE OHIO VALLEY...AND ANOTHER AREA OF LOW PRESSURE SITUATED ACROSS THE WESTERN PLAINS. IN BETWEEN THESE TWO LOWS...WE HAVE A WEAK AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE NOSING BACK INTO SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA AND NORTHWEST IOWA FROM THE LAKE SUPERIOR AREA. BECAUSE OF THIS HIGH...WINDS WILL BE RATHER LIGHT AND VARIABLE THIS MORNING IN SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA AND NORTHWEST IOWA. HOWEVER FINALLY BY NOON AND 1 PM...THE WIND DIRECTIONS SHOULD SETTLE ON A EAST TO SOUTHEAST DIRECTION...AND THEN STAY THAT WAY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. OVERALL...SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS THIS AFTERNOON ARE EXPECTED TO BE AROUND 10 MPH. BUT DUE TO THE ABUNDANCE OF DRY AIR...WATCH FOR MIXING WINDS COMING DOWN FROM ALOFT BY AROUND 3 TO 4 PM...WHICH COULD PRODUCE ERRATIC GUSTINESS AT TIMES TO 15 TO 20 MPH IN SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA AND NORTHWEST IOWA. AT THE TOP OF THE MIXED LAYER...THE OMAHA AND MINNEAPOLIS 7 AM SOUNDINGS DO SHOW 15 TO 20 KNOTS THIS MORNING AT THE TOP OF THE MIXED LAYER. RH VALUES WILL ALSO LIKELY FALL TO 15 TO 20 PERCENT BY 3 TO 4 PM...SO SOMETHING TO WATCH FOR. SMOKE DISPERSAL WILL BE GOOD TODAY BY AROUND NOON. OUTLOOK FOR WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...WE COULD VERY LIKELY HAVE BORDERLINE RED FLAG CONDITIONS IN SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA AND NORTHWEST IOWA. SO ANY BURNING YOU COULD GET DONE TODAY WOULD BE GREAT. .TODAY... MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63. MIN HUMIDITY........18 PERCENT. TIME (CDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY.............CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP (F)........27 36 46 52 55 57 59 60 60 60 RH (%)..........78 59 40 32 27 24 22 19 18 18 DEWPOINT (F)....21 23 23 23 22 21 20 18 17 16 20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N NE ENE ENE ENE ENE ENE 20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 7 8 8 8 9 8 9 9 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 11 12 13 15 16 15 DISPERSAL INDEX.PR PR PR FR GD GD GD GD GD GD CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.9 1.3 2.8 4.3 5.9 5.9 6.0 6.1 5.9 TRANSP WIND DIR.NNW NNW NNW N NE ENE ENE ENE ENE ENE TRANSP WIND SPD.6 8 10 10 10 9 9 9 9 9 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... MIN TEMPERATURE.....29-34. MAX HUMIDITY........72 PERCENT. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY.............CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP (F)........60 54 42 38 35 34 RH (%)..........18 26 46 59 69 69 DEWPOINT (F)....16 20 23 25 26 25 20 FT WIND......ENE 10 E 9 E 8 E 7 ESE 6 ESE 6 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 10 DISPERSAL INDEX.GOOD FAIR POOR POOR POOR POOR .WEDNESDAY... MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67. MIN HUMIDITY........24 PERCENT. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY.............MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP (F)........33 45 59 64 RH (%)..........69 45 29 24 DEWPOINT (F)....24 25 27 27 20 FT WIND......ESE 8G10 SE 13G15 SE 18G30 SE 23G30 DISPERSAL INDEX.POOR POOR GOOD EXCEL CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 MIX HGT (FT)....300 700 3200 4400 TRANSPORT WIND..ESE 8 SE 17 SE 24 SE 25 HAINES INDEX....4 4 5 5 $$ FORECASTER...MJF REQUESTED BY...TJ HERRICK TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090414.KIRCH.01/FSD