FNUS75 KGJT 140253
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR TOMICHI...USFS GUNNISON
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
853 PM MDT MON APR 13 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MDT ON APRIL 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DROP SOUTHWARD OUT
OF THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST ON TUESDAY AND INTO THE GREAT BASIN ON
WEDNESDAY. AS A RESULT SOUTH-SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH
WEDNESDAY...WITH BREEZY CONDITIONS DEVELOPING THIS AFTERNOON. A
FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON WITH
SHOWERS INCREASING DURING THE EVENING. WEDNESDAY WILL BRING A
BETTER CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AS THE PACIFIC STORM
SYSTEM APPROACHES.


.TUESDAY (UNTIL SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....49-53 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-32%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-6 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    LIGHT AND VARIABLE UNTIL 1200...BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST AND INCREASING TO 9-13 MPH GUSTS
                    TO 20 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING EXCELLENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 28 MPH.

.TUESDAY NIGHT (AFTER SUNSET)...

SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GENERALLY POOR...HOWEVER BETTER MIXING NEAR
                    SHOWERS WHICH WILL BECOME SCATTERED AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT. (30000 KT-FT...EXCEPT NEAR SHOWERS)
MIXING HEIGHT.......GENERALLY AROUND 2000 FT AGL...INCREASING
                    NEAR SHOWERS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 MPH...STRONGER NEAR SHOWERS AS
                    THE WINDS ALOFT MIX TO THE SURFACE.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...J  CHONKA
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090414.TOMIC.01/GJT