FNUS74 KMAF 141421
FWSMAF

SPOT FORECAST FOR RED LAKE...FS-LNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
921 AM CDT TUE APR 14 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0840 MDT ON APRIL 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM
MDT THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
CLOUDS WILL DECREASE THIS AFTERNOON AND SOUTHWEST WINDS INCREASE
TO AT LEAST 20 TO 25 MPH SUSTAINED.  SINCE RH/S WILL DROP TO 10 TO
15 PERCENT...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT.
WINDS WILL SUBSIDE AFTER 15/02Z AND MAY TURN TO THE SOUTHEAST FOR
A PERIOD OF TIME OVERNIGHT.  BUT DRY AIR IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN OVER
THE BURN SITE...AND WITH INCREASING HIGH CLOUDS MINIMUM TEMPERATURES
WILL DROP TO THE MID 50S AND ONLY POOR RECOVERY IS EXPECTED.
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE AGAIN WEDNESDAY BUT WILL LIKELY DO SO
EARLIER AND BE STRONGER THAN TODAY WITH MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES AGAIN
BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE AFTERNOON.  SINCE MINIMUM AFTERNOON
RH/S WILL DROP TO AROUND 10 PERCENT...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN
EFFECT WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS
MAY OCCUR AGAIN THURSDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING...PARTLY CLOUDY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PCT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........12 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........BECOMING WINDY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH
                    INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 17 TO 22 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 /MODERATE/.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD /0-35000 KNOT-FT/ INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT /187000 KNOT-FT/.

TIME (MDT)      8 AM         NOON         4 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE         NONE         NONE
TEMP............52           66           72
RH..............35           19           13
20 FT WIND DIR..S            SW           SW
20 FT WIND SPD..7            12           21
20 FT WIND GUST.
MIX HGT (FT)....< 100        5500         11000
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW           S            S
TRANSP WIND SPD.7            16           22
HAINES INDEX....5            4            4

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PCT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MAX HUMIDITY........34 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 16 TO 22 MPH BECOMING SOUTH
                    6 TO 10 MPH LATE EVENING...THEN SHIFTING TO
                    THE SOUTHWEST 11 TO 16 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 /LOW/.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT /230000 KNOT-FT/ DECREASING TO POOR
                    /0-8000 KNOT-FT/ IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.

TIME (MDT)      6 PM         10 PM        2 AM
SKY (%).........PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE         NONE         NONE
TEMP............70           59           56
RH..............13           20           30
20 FT WIND DIR..SW           SE           SW
20 FT WIND SPD..23            9           11
20 FT WIND GUST.25
MIX HGT (FT)....11500        < 100        500
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW           S            SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.20           8            15
HAINES INDEX....4            4            4

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING...PARTLY CLOUDY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PCT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MIN HUMIDITY........13 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH INCREASING
                    TO SOUTHWEST 21 TO 26 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 /LOW/.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /0 KNOT-FT/ INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    /284000 KNOT-FT/.

TIME (MDT)      6 AM         10 AM        2 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE         NONE         NONE
TEMP............49           58           69
RH..............34           28           15
20 FT WIND DIR..W            W            SW
20 FT WIND SPD..11           16           23
20 FT WIND GUST.             20
MIX HGT (FT)....< 100        3500         8000
TRANSP WIND DIR.W            W            SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.12           23           27
HAINES INDEX....3            3            3

$$

FORECASTER...LYSTER
REQUESTED BY...JAMES VILLARD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090414.REDLA.01/MAF