FNUS74 KMAF 142246
FWSMAF

SPOT FORECAST FOR RED LAKE 1...NMLNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
546 PM CDT TUE APR 14 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1700 MDT ON APRIL 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
THE APPROACH OF A STRONG UPPER TROUGH WILL RESULT IN WINDY CONDITIONS FOR
SOUTHWEST EDDY COUNTY... ESPECIALLY NEAR THE MOUNTAINS TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.
20 FT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER... MINIMUM RH BELOW 15 PERCENT... AND
HIGH FIRE DANGER WILL RESULT IN A CONTINUATION OF THE RED FLAG WARNING
TONIGHT.  SIMILAR TO EVEN WORSE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE TOMORROW AS A SURFACE
TROUGH AND A WEST WIND WILL CUT OFF THE BURN SITE FROM LOW LEVEL MOISTURE...
WILL CONTINUE FIRE WEATHER WATCH OF WEDNESDAY AND EXPECT WILL BE UPGRADED TO
A RED FLAG WARNING.

 THE DEVELOPMENT OF
A SURFACE TROUGH WILL CUT OFF THE FIRE SITE FROM GULF MOISTURE RESULTING
IN VERY DRY CONDITIONS WEDNESDAY WITH MINIMUM RH NEAR 10 PERCENT.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PCT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.
MAX HUMIDITY........40 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 25 TO 35 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 /MODERATE/.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT /324000 KNOT-FT/ DECREASING TO POOR
                    TO GOOD /5000-33000 KNOT-FT/ IN THE LATE
                    EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

TIME (MDT)      6 PM         10 PM        2 AM
SKY (%).........PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE         NONE         NONE
TEMP............70           58           51
RH..............17           30           37
20 FT WIND DIR..SW           SW           SW
20 FT WIND SPD..37           31           25
20 FT WIND GUST.50           40           30
MIX HGT (FT)....12000        500          500
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW           W            W
TRANSP WIND SPD.27           9            28
HAINES INDEX....4            4            5

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PCT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MIN HUMIDITY........11 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 27 TO 40 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 /MODERATE/.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT /33000-78000 KNOT-FT/
                    INCREASING TO EXCELLENT /203000 KNOT-FT/.

TIME (MDT)      6 AM         10 AM        2 PM
SKY (%).........PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE         NONE         NONE
TEMP............45           52           61
RH..............40           24           14
20 FT WIND DIR..SW           SW           SW
20 FT WIND SPD..27           35           39
20 FT WIND GUST.35           40           55
MIX HGT (FT)....1000         2500         5500
TRANSP WIND DIR.W            W            W
TRANSP WIND SPD.33           31           27
HAINES INDEX....5            5            3

$$

FORECASTER...CAIN
REQUESTED BY...JAMES VILLARD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090414.REDLA.02/MAF