FNUS75 KBOU 151610 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR ELK RESEARCH...NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 1006 AM MDT WED APR 15 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A STORM SYSTEM WILL BE MOVING INTO SOUTHWEST COLORADO DURING THE DAY. MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO STREAM ACROSS THE AREA WITH SHOWERS POSSIBLE. WINDS WILL INCREASE DURING THE AFTERNOON AS THE SYSTEM GETS CLOSER TO COLORADO. SNOW CHANCES INCREASE ON FRIDAY WITH SOME ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1000...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN AND SHOWERS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....38-42. MIN HUMIDITY........50-55%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 5-9 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8-16 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 20-28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2600 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 4600-5600 FT AGL. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...SNOW LIKELY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...SNOW LIKELY UNTIL 1800...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR ELK RESEARCH. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 04/15-09 69 16 37 57 S 2 2 2 1 S43 3849 S 14 46528 F 04/15-10 69 16 40 52 S 2 1 4450 S 13 47018 F 04/15-11 69 16 43 49 S 5 1 5050 S 12 47507 F 04/15-12 69 20 45 46 S 6 6 2 3 S39 5650 S 9 47997 F 04/15-13 69 20 46 45 SE 6 3 6038 S 10 53146 F 04/15-14 69 20 47 44 SE 7 3 6426 S 10 58295 F 04/15-15 80 20 48 44 SE 7 7 2 3 S32 6814 S 10 63444 G 04/15-16 80 20 48 45 SE 8 3 6392 S 13 69631 G 04/15-17 80 20 46 48 SE 8 3 5970 S 15 75817 G 04/15-18 80 30 44 53 SE 9 9 2 4 S24 5548 S 17 82004 G 04/15-19 80 30 42 56 SE 9 4 5001 S 18 77828 G 04/15-20 80 30 39 63 SE 9 4 4453 S 20 73652 G 04/15-21 79 30 35 73 SE 9 9 2 1 S29 3906 S 21 69476 G 04/15-22 79 30 33 79 SE 8 1 2762 SE 17 47768 F 04/15-23 79 30 31 83 SE 6 1 1618 SE 14 26059 P 04/16-00 79 20 30 86 E 5 5 2 1 S35 474 SE 10 4350 P 04/16-01 79 20 28 89 E 3 1 448 SE 9 3663 P 04/16-02 79 20 27 92 E 3 1 423 SE 8 2976 P 04/16-03 79 20 27 93 E 3 3 2 1 S46 397 SE 7 2289 P 04/16-04 79 20 26 94 E 3 1 511 SE 7 2780 P 04/16-05 79 20 27 92 E 2 1 624 SE 6 3271 P 04/16-06 79 20 27 90 NE 2 2 2 1 S41 738 SE 6 3762 P 04/16-07 79 20 27 87 NE 3 1 2005 SE 10 25806 P 04/16-08 79 20 28 86 NE 3 1 3272 SE 14 47849 F 04/16-09 79 20 30 79 E 5 5 2 1 S51 4538 SE 17 69892 G 04/16-10 79 20 32 72 E 5 1 4813 SE 20 81793 G 04/16-11 79 20 34 67 E 6 1 5088 SE 21 93694 G 04/16-12 79 20 36 63 E 6 6 2 1 S55 5362 SE 23 105594 V 04/16-13 79 20 37 59 E 7 1 5451 SE 24 113069 V 04/16-14 79 40 38 57 E 7 1 5541 SE 25 120544 V 04/16-15 80 40 38 56 E 7 7 2 1 SE52 5630 SE 26 128019 V 04/16-16 80 40 38 55 NE 6 1 5494 E 23 108993 V 04/16-17 80 40 38 56 N 5 1 5359 E 20 89967 G 04/16-18 80 40 36 59 N 3 3 2 1 SE32 5224 E 16 70940 G 04/16-19 80 40 35 61 N 3 1 4433 E 21 71507 G 04/16-20 80 40 32 66 N 5 1 3641 E 25 72074 G 04/16-21 98 40 29 73 N 5 5 2 1 SE44 2850 E 29 72641 G 04/16-22 98 40 27 77 N 5 1 2627 E 23 56023 F 04/16-23 98 40 26 78 N 5 1 2404 E 17 39404 P 04/17-00 98 40 25 79 N 5 5 2 1 SE39 2181 E 12 22786 P 04/17-01 98 40 24 79 N 6 1 1946 E 13 20741 P 04/17-02 100 40 24 78 N 6 1 1711 NE 13 18696 P 04/17-03 100 70 23 76 N 6 6 2 1 E32 1476 NE 13 16652 P 04/17-04 100 70 23 75 N 7 1 1482 NE 15 19739 P 04/17-05 100 70 23 74 N 7 1 1487 NE 17 22826 P 04/17-06 100 70 23 73 N 8 8 2 1 SE32 1492 NE 20 25914 P 04/17-07 100 70 23 74 N 9 1 1514 NE 22 28274 P 04/17-08 100 70 23 81 N 10 1 1536 NE 23 30634 P 04/17-09 100 70 24 80 N 12 12 2 1 NE41 1557 NE 24 32995 P 04/17-10 100 70 25 76 N 13 1 1699 NE 29 43902 F 04/17-11 100 70 26 71 N 14 1 1841 NE 33 54810 F 04/17-12 100 70 27 67 N 14 14 2 1 E45 1982 NE 38 65718 G 04/17-13 100 70 28 67 N 14 1 2364 NE 38 76447 G 04/17-14 100 70 28 67 N 13 1 2746 E 37 87177 G 04/17-15 100 70 28 68 NE 13 13 2 1 E41 3128 E 36 97906 G 04/17-16 100 70 28 67 N 12 1 2921 E 32 82542 G 04/17-17 100 70 28 68 N 10 1 2714 E 28 67178 G 04/17-18 100 70 27 71 N 8 8 2 1 E46 2507 E 24 51813 F 04/17-19 100 70 26 72 N 8 1 2230 E 22 42718 F 04/17-20 100 70 25 75 N 7 1 1952 NE 20 33624 P 04/17-21 100 70 23 77 N 6 6 2 1 E49 1674 NE 17 24529 P 04/17-22 100 70 22 80 N 6 1 1604 NE 16 22863 P 04/17-23 100 70 22 81 N 7 1 1534 NE 16 21197 P 04/18-00 100 70 21 82 N 7 7 2 1 E35 1464 N 15 19530 P 04/18-01 100 70 21 83 N 7 1 1264 N 15 16393 P 04/18-02 100 70 20 83 N 7 1 1065 N 14 13255 P 04/18-03 100 70 20 82 N 7 7 2 1 E22 866 N 14 10118 P 04/18-04 100 70 20 82 N 7 1 822 N 14 9952 P 04/18-05 100 70 20 83 N 8 1 779 N 15 9786 P 04/18-06 100 70 20 81 N 8 8 2 1 NE28 736 N 15 9620 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...LESZCYNSKI...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...CRAIG BROUWER REASON FOR REQUEST...SAR .TAG 20090415.ELKRE.01/BOU