FNUS75 KGJT 151711
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR TOMICHI...USFS GUNNISON
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1111 AM MDT WED APR 15 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1050 MDT ON APRIL 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
STRONG SYSTEM CONTINUES TO SPIN OVER THE GREAT BASIN AND WILL
SLOWLY TRACK EAST. SATELLITE INDICATES A DRY SLOT FOR THIS MORNING
THAT SHOULD FILL IN WITH CONVECTION THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL
INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS OF 55 MPH COMMON ESPECIALLY
NEAR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THE LOW SLOWLY TRACKS OVERHEAD
THURSDAY AND FLOW ALOFT TURNS NORTHERLY FRIDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
                    SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....43-48 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 16-20 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH
                    INCREASING TO 45 TO 55 MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 28 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT THROUGH SUNSET AND NEAR SHOWERS THEN
                    BECOMING POOR AS THE WINDS DECREASE AFTER 2000.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS.

$$
FORECASTER...AS
REQUESTED BY...J  CHONKA
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090415.TOMIC.01/GJT