FNUS73 KFGF 161409 FWSFGF SPOT FORECAST FOR ERICKSON...USFWS DL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND 909 AM CDT THU APR 16 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON APRIL 16. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BE PUSHING INTO THE CENTRAL DAKOTAS TODAY...DEVELOPING SCATTERED LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS ACROSS EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA AND WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA. DESPITE THE INCREASING CLOUD COVER AND CHANCE FOR SHOWERS...WESTERN BECKER COUNTY...AND ALL OF THE NORTHWESTERN QUARTER OF MINNESOTA FOR THAT MATTER...SAW LITTLE RH RECOVERY LAST NIGHT. THIS PUTS WESTERN BECKER AT A VERY LOW RH TO BEGIN THE MORNING. THINK THE RH WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE INTO THE AFTERNOON...DROPPING TO NEAR 30 PERCENT. BECAUSE THE SURFACE AIR IS SO DRY...THINK ANY SHOWERS WILL HAVE A DIFFICULT TIME REACHING THE GROUND BEFORE EVAPORATING. BUT ONE CANNOT RULE OUT SOME SPRINKLES. IT WILL ALSO BE WINDY MOST OF THE DAY...WITH AFTERNOON SURFACE WINDS FROM THE SOUTH SOUTHEAST TOPPING OUT AT 15 TO 20 MPH...WITH GUSTS NEAR 25 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSION LEVELS WILL BE EXCELLENT THROUGH THE MID EVENING...MAINLY DUE TO THE GREAT SOUTHERLY WIND FLOW. EXPECT A LOW TO VERY LOW HAINES INDEX. THERE SHOULD FINALLY BE SOME RH RECOVERY TONIGHT. FRIDAY LOOKS PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY...A BIT COOLER...PERHAPS NOT AS DRY...AND WITH LIGHTER WINDS OUT OF THE NORTHWEST. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65. MIN HUMIDITY........33-38 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2600-4400 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 14 TO 21 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH 24 TO 32 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........85 87 90 92 WEATHER COV..... ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............52 58 61 62 RH..............44 38 38 40 20 FT WIND......SE 17 S 18 S 17 S 15 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 25 20 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44. MAX HUMIDITY........67-72 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH IN THE EVENING. MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-4500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-2000 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 24 TO 33 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........93 91 88 85 84 84 WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............61 55 50 47 44 42 RH..............42 47 53 57 61 67 20 FT WIND......S 14 S 14 S 14 S 14 S 12 S 10 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 20 15 15 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63. MIN HUMIDITY........41-46 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700-4300 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. MIXING WINDS........WEST 8 TO 17 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........83 79 74 71 73 76 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............41 45 51 56 59 60 RH..............72 71 66 57 51 47 20 FT WIND......SW 8 SW 7 W 8 NW 8 NW 9 NW 10 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 15 $$ FORECASTER...GROCHOCINSKI REQUESTED BY...LINDY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090416.ERICK.02/FGF