FNUS73 KPAH 161437 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR CURRENT RIVER STATE PARK...MDC NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 937 AM CDT THU APR 16 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON APRIL 16. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... SHOULD THE CURRENT TREND PERSIST...THE LEADING EDGE OF LOWER CLOUD COVER WITH BASES NEAR 3000 FOOT ABOVE GROUND LEVEL...WILL MOVE NEAR THE PRESCRIBED BURN AREA AROUND IGNITION TIME. SHOULD THESE CLOUDS PERSIST... MIXING WILL BE DIMINISHED...LIMITING ANY SIGNIFICANT LOWER OF DAYTIME RELATIVE HUMIDITIES DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. WHERE LOW CLOUDS THIN OUT ...HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS WILL REMAIN OVER THE PRESCRIBED BURN AREA. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO PERSIST FROM THE EAST...KEEPING A WEAK UPWIND COMPONENT TOWARD THE RIDGE. HOWEVER...ANY FORWARD OR FLANK FIRE MOVEMENT WILL REMAIN SLOW. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........56 AT IGNITION...MAX 64. RH..................62 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 41 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS EAST AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 8 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2800 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2800-3600 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 8 TO 16 MPH. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........PC PC PC PC PC PC PC MC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............56 59 60 62 63 63 63 62 RH..............62 55 55 52 52 52 52 54 20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E 20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.8 3.1 3.3 3.5 3.6 3.6 3.5 3.4 TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E TRANSP WIND SPD.12 10 9 10 12 13 15 16 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 45. RH..................MAX 93 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-3200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-1200 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 16 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............60 55 52 50 48 47 RH..............58 69 77 80 86 89 20 FT WIND......E 6 SE 4 SE 2 E 3 E 2 E 2 20 FT WIND GUST.10 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....3200 2200 1200 500 400 300 TRANSPORT WIND..E 16 E 15 E 14 E 13 SE 10 SE 8 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 3 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 69. RH..................MIN 46 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000-5500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 20 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............47 58 65 68 RH..............93 69 56 51 20 FT WIND......E 3G5 SE 6G10 SE 6G10 SE 5G10 MIX HGT (FT)....400 3000 4500 5500 TRANSPORT WIND..E 8 SE 20 SE 16 SE 17 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 3 4 3 $$ FORECASTER...SMITH REQUESTED BY...MICHAEL BILL TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090416.CURRE.01/PAH