FNUS73 KAPX 171227
FWSAPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR KIRTLAND BURN...STATE OF MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
827 AM EDT FRI APR 17 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON APRIL 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WARM AND DRY DAY IS ON TAP AT THE IGNITION SITE
AS HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS ANCHORED ACROSS THE REGION. AS THE AREA
OF HIGH PRESSURE DRIFTS INTO THE SOUTHERN LAKES TODAY...WESTERLY
WINDS WILL DEVELOP DURING THE COURSE OF THE DAY. A FEW GUSTS UP TO
18 MPH ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON WITH SUSTAINED WINDS REMAINING
JUST BELOW 10 MPH. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM TO NEAR 70 TODAY WITH
THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY AGAIN DROPPING INTO THE TEENS AT THE
IGNITION SITE. THE HAINES INDEX WILL REACH 6 AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........58 AT IGNITION...MAX 69.
RH..................24 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 16 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 8 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 6 TO 9 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    TO AROUND 18 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 0-900 FT AGL
                    INCREASING TO 5500-6500 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 6.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (500) AT IGNITION. MAX...EXCELLENT (1300).

TIME (EDT)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........0      0      0      0
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............58     64     69     68
RH..............24     19     16     16
20 FT WIND......W 7    W 8    W 7    W 7
20 FT WIND GUST.12     15     18     18
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      6
SMOKE DISP......500    1000   1300   1200

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-5 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY
                    (45-55 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 36.
RH..................MAX 59 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 18 MPH.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM         10 PM        2 AM
SKY (%).........0            32           63
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE         NONE         NONE
TEMP............66           58           50
RH..............20           38           44
20 FT WIND......W 7G15       W 6G10       W 6G10

$$
FORECASTER...KEVIN SULLIVAN
REQUESTED BY...JIM FISHER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090417.KIRTL.01/APX