FNUS71 KBGM 171302 FWSBGM SPOT FORECAST FOR BLUEBERRY PATCH...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY 902 AM EDT FRI APR 17 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1230 EDT ON APRIL 17. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... INCREASED WIND SPEEDS WILL RESULT IN HAZARDOUS FIRE CONDITIONS ACROSS THE WESTERN CATSKILLS AND SOUTHERN TUG HILL PLATEAU. THIS WILL BE ESPECIALLY TRUE ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN WHERE WINDS COULD GUST TO NEAR 25 MPH OR MORE THIS AFTERNOON. DEWPOINTS WILL LIKELY MIX OUT ITO THE TEENS AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON...RESULTING IN MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES DROPPING BELOW 20 PERCENT. ELSEWHERE...RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL DROP TO NEAR OR BELOW 20 PERCENT. HOWEVER... WIND SPEEDS WILL REMAIN BELOW 20 MPH. FIRE CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED ON SATURDAY...WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES DROPPING TO NEAR OR BELOW 30 PERCENT OVER PORTIONS OF THE AREA AND CONTINUED LOW FUEL MOISTURES. WIND SPEEDS WILL REMAIN BELOW CRITICAL LEVELS...LIMITING SIGNIFICANT RISK OF FIRE SPREAD. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61. MIN HUMIDITY........22 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 17 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3400-4900 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 16 TO 25 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 30 MPH LATE. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (6500 KNOT-FT)...INCREASING TO GOOD (57800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............5 4 4 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE TEMP................55 59 61 RH..................30 25 22 20 FT WIND..........NW 7 NW 9 NW 10 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 15 15 LAL.................1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 5 5 VRATE KT-FT/1000....7 58 58 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40. MAX HUMIDITY........69-76 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8 TO 15 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 30 TO 36 MPH. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (17700-57800 KNOT-FT). TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............3 5 13 22 33 43 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................59 54 49 46 43 41 RH..................24 31 40 49 60 67 20 FT WIND..........NW 10 W 8 W 7 W 6 W 5 W 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....20 15 10 10 10 10 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 4 4 4 VRATE KT-FT/1000....58 58 58 58 18 18 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SPRINKLES LATE. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62. MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1600 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3100-5000 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 24 TO 32 MPH. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (17700-42400 KNOT-FT). TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............57 67 64 60 46 52 WEATHER COV......... CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR TEMP................40 42 50 56 61 62 RH..................73 70 52 43 36 36 20 FT WIND..........W 5 W 5 W 6 W 7 NW 8 NW 7 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 10 15 10 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 3 VRATE KT-FT/1000....18 18 18 18 42 42 $$ FORECASTER...NICOSIA REQUESTED BY...DAVID DISANTO TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090417.BLUEB.01/BGM