FNUS73 KAPX 172342
FWSAPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR SUMMERS RD...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
742 PM EDT FRI APR 17 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EDT ON APRIL 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...TEMPERATURES WILL ONCE AGAIN MAKE A RUN AT THE 70
DEGREE MARK...ALONG WITH AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY READINGS
DIPPING BELOW 30 PERCENT. HOWEVER...A COLD FRONT WILL DROP
SOUTHWARD ACROSS NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN DURING THE AFTERNOON.
WINDS WILL TURN TO THE NORTH AT THE FIRE SITE DURING THE MID TO
LATE AFTERNOON HOURS...AND HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL START TO RECOVER.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 38.
RH..................MAX 70 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 TO 17 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-1100 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MIN POOR(0).

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........0      17     17     36     59     59
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............67     59     51     46     43     41
RH..............14     27     41     51     62     67
20 FT WIND......W 6    W 5    W 2    W 2    W 3    W 3
20 FT WIND GUST.15     10     5             5      5
SMOKE DISP......1100   400    100    100    100    0

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........62 AT IGNITION...MAX 68.
RH..................32 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 29 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 6 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING
                    NORTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 6 TO
                    8 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5200 FT AGL AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE 4800-5200 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (1100) AT IGNITION. MAX...EXCELLENT
                    (1100).

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........69     55     55     55     67     67     66
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............40     45     54     62     66     66     61
RH..............70     58     43     32     29     33     41
20 FT WIND......W 4    W 4    W 5    SW 6   SW 7   NW 7   N 8
20 FT WIND GUST.5      10     10     15     15     15     16
SMOKE DISP......0      100    600    1100   1000   400    400

$$
FORECASTER...JEFF ZOLTOWSKI
REQUESTED BY...PAUL ROOSE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090418.SUMME.01/APX