FNUS71 KCTP 181952
FWSCTP

SPOT FORECAST FOR PORCIPINE RUN...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
352 PM EDT SAT APR 18 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1537 EDT ON APRIL 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE.

.DISCUSSION...

...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON...

LATE AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S COMBINED WITH DEWPOINTS
IN THE 20S AND 30S WILL RESULT IN RH VALUES BETWEEN 15 AND 20 PERCENT
THROUGH EARLY EVENING. SUSTAINED WEST SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH WITH
SOME GUSTS NEAR 20 MPH AND LOW DEAD FUEL MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE
ELEVATED FIRE DANGER THROUGH EARLY EVENING.

INCREASING MOISTURE...COOLER TEMPERATURES AND EVENTUAL PRECIPITATION ARE
EXPECTED FROM LATER SUNDAY THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MIN HUMIDITY........16 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.
MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING
                    NORTHEAST 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 11 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.


$$
FORECASTER...WFO CTP/DEVOIR
REQUESTED BY...PETE TO
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090418.PORCI.01/CTP