FNUS71 KCTP 182158
FWSCTP

SPOT FORECAST FOR PORCUPINE RUN...PA BUREAU OF FORESTRY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
558 PM EDT SAT APR 18 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1752 EDT ON APRIL 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE.

.DISCUSSION...

...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON...

UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S COMBINED WITH DEWPOINTS
IN THE 20S AND 30S WILL RESULT IN RH VALUES BELOW 30 PERCENT THIS
AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EARLY EVENING. GUSTY WEST SOUTHWEST WINDS
AND LOW DEAD FUEL MOISTURE WILL LEAD TO AN ELEVATED FIRE DANGER.

INCREASING MOISTURE...COOLER TEMPERATURES AND EVENTUAL
PRECIPITATION ARE EXPECTED FROM LATER SUNDAY THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK.


SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MIN HUMIDITY........23 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 18 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)      5 PM
SKY (%).........24
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE
TEMP............68
RH..............23
20 FT WIND......W 8
20 FT WIND GUST.15
TRANSPORT WIND..W 18
CHC OF PCPN (%).10
LAL.............1
HAINES INDEX....5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.
MAX HUMIDITY........84 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 9 TO 18 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 3 TO 6
                    MPH LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN BECOMING EAST
                    AROUND 2 MPH LATE.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING EAST 5 TO 7
                    MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 5 TO 14 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.


$$
FORECASTER...WFO CTP/DEVOIR
REQUESTED BY...DARRYL WURST
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090418.PORCU.01/CTP