FNUS73 KJKL 181551 FWSJKL SPOT FORECAST FOR BUCK CREEK CHESTNUT CLIFFS...USDA - DANIEL BOONE NF NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 1151 AM EDT SAT APR 18 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON APRIL 18. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...THERE IS SOME DRY AIR ALOFT THAT WILL MIX DOWN AROUND 2 PM AND CAUSE THE MIN RH TO DROP BELOW THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. THE NEW MIN RH COULD BE AS LOW AS 20 PERCENT. THE LEADING EDGE OF A WARM FRONT WILL BRING INCREASING CLOUDS TO THE AREA THIS EVENING AND SPREAD RAIN ACROSS THE AREA ON SUNDAY MORNING. THE WINDS SHOULD HOLD TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST OF 5 TO 10 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75. MIN HUMIDITY........20 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST-SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH. RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH. POP.................0 PERCENT. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 11 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....58. TIME (EDT) NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........24 32 42 48 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............69 72 74 73 RH..............25 22 20 23 20 FT WIND......SW 5 SW 7 SW 7 W 5 20 FT WIND GUST.8 15 15 8 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF A RAIN SHOWER TOWARDS DAWN. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53. MAX HUMIDITY........71 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH. RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH. POP.................20 PERCENT. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM 6 AM SKY (%).........57 64 69 80 88 93 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............69 64 61 58 56 55 RH..............30 40 48 56 61 66 20 FT WIND......W 3 W 2 SW 2 SW 3 S 3 S 3 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62. MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH. RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH. POP.................90 PERCENT. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1500...THEN 2. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 24 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....64. TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........98 98 99 99 99 99 WEATHER COV.....S CHC CHANCE LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............54 57 59 61 61 61 RH..............69 66 65 65 66 67 20 FT WIND......S 5 SE 6 SE 8 SE 8 SE 7 S 7 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...JACOBSON REQUESTED BY...DISPATCH TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090418.BUCKC.01/JKL