FNUS73 KICT 201245 FWSICT SPOT FORECAST FOR LUCAS HILLS - WILSON LAKE...U.S. ARMY CORPS OF ENGINEERS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS 745 AM CDT MON APR 20 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0915 CDT ON APRIL 20. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... NORTHWEST SURFACE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE AS THE MORNING PROGRESSES. BY THE AFTERNOON HOURS NORTHWEST WIND WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 MPH WITH SOME GUSTS AS HIGH AS 30 MPH IN THE LATE AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL DIE OFF QUICKLY AFTER SUNSET THIS EVENING... WITH WINDS BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. LARGE DIURNAL TEMPERATURE SWING TODAY AS DRY ATMOSPHERE ALLOWS MAX TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB INTO THE LOWER 70S. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71. MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 6 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8100-9000 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 14 TO 22 MPH. TIME (CDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........45 45 45 54 54 54 54 54 54 54 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............53 57 61 65 67 69 70 70 70 69 RH..............62 53 46 41 37 34 31 30 31 32 20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW N N N NW NW NW NW N 20 FT WIND SPD..8 10 11 12 12 12 12 11 10 9 20 FT WIND GUST.15 20 25 30 30 30 30 25 25 20 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 3.1 5.0 6.8 7.6 8.3 9.0 9.0 8.6 8.1 MIXNG WIND DIR..N N N N NW NW NW NW NW NW MIXNG WIND SPD..17 18 21 22 22 22 22 22 22 21 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41. MAX HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 6 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......7700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 12 TO 18 MPH BECOMING WEST AROUND 3 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM SKY (%).........45 45 45 45 45 45 45 45 45 45 45 45 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............67 62 58 55 53 51 49 48 47 46 45 44 RH..............32 38 44 50 55 59 62 65 67 69 72 74 20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N NW NW W W 20 FT WIND SPD..8 7 6 5 5 4 3 3 2 2 3 3 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 10 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...7.7 5.2 2.7 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 MIXNG WIND DIR..NW NW N N N N NE NE N N N W MIXNG WIND SPD..18 15 12 8 7 8 8 7 6 5 5 3 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....6 6 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77. MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 6 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8100-9000 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 2 TO 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 0 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO NORTHWEST 12 TO 20 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............42 46 52 59 64 69 73 77 77 77 77 77 RH..............79 71 59 49 43 38 33 31 30 31 31 31 20 FT WIND DIR..W W SW SW W W W NW NW NW NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD..4 5 5 6 7 9 10 11 11 10 9 6 20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 10 15 20 25 25 25 25 20 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 1.2 2.1 3.0 4.8 6.6 8.4 8.6 8.8 9.0 8.5 8.1 MIXNG WIND DIR..W SW SE E E N NW NW NW NW NW NW MIXNG WIND SPD..3 2 0 1 6 12 17 20 20 18 18 17 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 5 5 5 6 6 6 5 5 5 6 $$ FORECASTER...KETCHAM REQUESTED BY...RYAN WILLIAMS TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090420.LUCAS.01/ICT