FNUS74 KLZK 211142 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR HIGH POINT...U.S. FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 642 AM CDT TUE APR 21 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON APRIL 21. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OUT OF THE STATE THIS MORNING. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BE NOTED BEHIND THE SYSTEM. DRIER AIR WILL FILTER INTO THE REGION. AFTERNOON MINIMUM HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 25 TO 30 PERCENT IN THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN DISTRICTS. HOWEVER...WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE GUSTY...SO AT THIS TIME IT APPEARS RED FLAG CRITERIA WILL NOT BE MET. HIGH PRESSURE WILL SET UP OVER THE REGION BEHIND THE FRONT...AND WILL GIVE THE STATE A FEW DAYS OF DRY WEATHER. THE NEXT SYSTEM WILL AFFECT ARKANSAS THIS WEEKEND IN THE FORM OF AN APPROACHING FRONTAL BOUNDARY. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO STALL OUT NEAR THE STATE...BRINGING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........64 AT IGNITION...MAX 74. RH..................40 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 34 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS. TRANSPORT WINDS........NORTHWEST 16 TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO 26 TO 28 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 6400 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....1. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........PC PC PC MCR MCR MCR MCR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............64 67 69 70 72 72 72 RH..............40 37 35 34 34 34 36 EYE LVL WND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW EYE LVL WND SPD.3 3 3 4 4 4 4 EYE LVL WND GST.3 3 3 3 3 3 3 TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW TRANSP WIND SPD.20 21 22 23 25 26 28 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 49. RH..................MAX 77 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS. TRANSPORT WINDS........WEST 20 TO 29 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 18 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A. STABILITY CLASS.....6. TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........MCR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC PC PC PC PC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............71 69 65 62 60 59 58 56 55 54 53 54 RH..............39 43 49 55 60 63 66 70 72 73 75 73 EYE LVL WND DIR.NW W W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 4 4 3 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 EYE LVL WND GST.3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 MIX HGT (KFT)... TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W TRANSP WIND SPD.29 29 29 28 26 24 23 22 21 20 20 18 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 83. RH..................MIN 40 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHWEST 14 TO 18 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 5000 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....1. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............53 52 57 62 67 71 74 77 79 80 81 81 RH..............75 77 68 59 53 49 46 43 42 41 40 41 EYE LVL WND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.1 1 2 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 4 4 EYE LVL WND GST.3 3 3 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W SW SW SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.18 17 17 17 17 17 17 16 16 15 14 14 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 $$ FORECASTER...B SMITH REQUESTED BY...ADAM STROTHERS TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090421.HIGHP.01/LZK