FNUS74 KLZK 211237 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR MOCCASIN...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 737 AM CDT TUE APR 21 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 CDT ON APRIL 21. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OUT OF THE STATE THIS MORNING. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BE NOTED BEHIND THE SYSTEM. DRIER AIR WILL FILTER INTO THE REGION. AFTERNOON MINIMUM HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 25 TO 30 PERCENT IN THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN DISTRICTS. HOWEVER...WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE GUSTY...SO AT THIS TIME IT APPEARS RED FLAG CRITERIA WILL NOT BE MET. HIGH PRESSURE WILL SET UP OVER THE REGION BEHIND THE FRONT...AND WILL GIVE THE STATE A FEW DAYS OF DRY WEATHER. THE NEXT SYSTEM WILL AFFECT ARKANSAS THIS WEEKEND IN THE FORM OF AN APPROACHING FRONTAL BOUNDARY. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO STALL OUT NEAR THE STATE...BRINGING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........61 AT IGNITION...MAX 68. RH..................37 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 29 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS........NORTHWEST 24 TO 30 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 6500 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....1. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS NORTHWEST AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........CDY MC MC MC PC PC PC WEATHER COV.....SCH WEATHER TYPE....RW TEMP............61 64 65 66 67 67 66 RH..............37 33 31 30 30 31 33 20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 8 8 7 7 7 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 EYE LVL WND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW EYE LVL WND SPD.5 5 5 5 4 4 4 EYE LVL WND GST.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...N/A TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW TRANSP WIND SPD.25 25 24 25 25 25 25 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 10 10 10 10 10 10 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 47. RH..................MAX 75 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS. TRANSPORT WINDS........WEST 17 TO 25 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING. MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A STABILITY CLASS.....6. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............65 61 56 54 52 50 RH..............33 41 52 60 68 72 EYE LVL WND DIR.NW N NE SE SE S EYE LVL WND SPD.4 2 2 2 2 1 EYE LVL WND GST.3 3 3 3 3 3 MIX HGT (FT)....N/A TRANSP WIND DIR.NW W W SW S SW TRANSP WIND SPD.25 23 17 13 10 10 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 79. RH..................MIN 40 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS........WEST 12 TO 21 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 22 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 5400 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....1. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............51 59 71 77 RH..............73 59 45 40 EYE LVL WND DIR.S SW SW S EYE LVL WND SPD.1 3 4 4 EYE LVL WND GST.3 3 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....N/A TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W TRANSP WIND SPD.12 16 22 20 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 $$ FORECASTER...61 REQUESTED BY...MARK MORALES TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090421.MOCCA.01/LZK