FNUS74 KLZK 211304
FWSLZK

SPOT FORECAST FOR SCOTTSIDE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
804 AM CDT TUE APR 21 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON APRIL 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OUT OF THE STATE
THIS MORNING. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BE NOTED BEHIND THE SYSTEM.
DRIER AIR WILL FILTER INTO THE REGION. AFTERNOON MINIMUM HUMIDITIES
ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 25 TO 30 PERCENT IN THE NORTHERN AND
WESTERN DISTRICTS. HOWEVER...WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE GUSTY...SO
AT THIS TIME IT APPEARS RED FLAG CRITERIA WILL NOT BE MET.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL SET UP OVER THE REGION BEHIND THE FRONT...AND
WILL GIVE THE STATE A FEW DAYS OF DRY WEATHER. THE NEXT SYSTEM
WILL AFFECT ARKANSAS THIS WEEKEND IN THE FORM OF AN APPROACHING
FRONTAL BOUNDARY. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO STALL OUT NEAR THE
STATE...BRINGING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR SUNDAY
AND MONDAY.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........64 AT IGNITION...MAX 72.
RH..................36 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 32 PERCENT.
TRANSPORT WINDS........NORTHWEST 18 TO 24 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 6500 FT MSL.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS NORTHWEST AT 4 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING
                    NORTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........MC  PC  PC  MCR MCR MCR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............64  68  69  71  71  71
RH..............36  34  33  32  33  35
20 FT WIND DIR..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD..6   7   7   7   7   7
20 FT WIND GUST.5   10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...N/A
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.18  20  20  21  23  24

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 50.
RH..................MAX 79 PERCENT.
TRANSPORT WINDS........WEST 18 TO 25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............70  68  65  62  60  59  58  56  55  54  53  54
RH..............37  41  47  53  58  62  66  70  73  75  77  74
20 FT WIND DIR..NW  NW  W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD..6   6   6   6   6   5   5   5   3   3   2   2
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT)...N/A
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W
TRANSP WIND SPD.25  25  25  25  25  24  24  23  22  21  20  18

$$
FORECASTER...61
REQUESTED BY...TIM NUTLEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090421.SCOTT.01/LZK