FNUS74 KLZK 211116 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR SHULER...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 615 AM CDT TUE APR 21 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 CDT ON APRIL 21. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OUT OF THE STATE THIS MORNING. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BE NOTED BEHIND THE SYSTEM. DRIER AIR WILL FILTER INTO THE REGION. AFTERNOON MINIMUM HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 25 TO 30 PERCENT IN THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN DISTRICTS. HOWEVER...WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE GUSTY...SO AT THIS TIME IT APPEARS RED FLAG CRITERIA WILL NOT BE MET. HIGH PRESSURE WILL SET UP OVER THE REGION BEHIND THE FRONT...AND WILL GIVE THE STATE A FEW DAYS OF DRY WEATHER. THE NEXT SYSTEM WILL AFFECT ARKANSAS THIS WEEKEND IN THE FORM OF AN APPROACHING FRONTAL BOUNDARY. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO STALL OUT NEAR THE STATE...BRINGING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........60 AT IGNITION...MAX 66. RH..................37 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 31 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........NORTHWEST 26 TO 32 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 6600 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....2. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS NORTHWEST AT 7 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC PC PC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............60 62 63 64 65 65 65 RH..............37 34 32 31 31 32 35 20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 9 9 8 7 7 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 EYE LVL WND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW EYE LVL WND SPD.5 5 5 5 5 4 4 EYE LVL WND GST.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW TRANSP WIND SPD.29 28 28 26 26 26 26 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 48. RH..................MAX 71 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS. TRANSPORT WINDS........WEST 17 TO 25 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A. STABILITY CLASS.....6. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC MCR MCR MCR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............64 62 60 58 56 55 54 53 52 51 51 52 RH..............35 38 43 48 52 56 59 63 66 68 70 67 20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW W W SW S S S S S SW 20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 EYE LVL WND DIR.NW NW NW W W SW S S S S S SW EYE LVL WND SPD.4 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 EYE LVL WND GST.3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW W W W W W W W W W TRANSP WIND SPD.25 25 24 24 23 22 21 20 20 18 18 17 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 78. RH..................MIN 39 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS........WEST 14 TO 22 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 5700 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....1. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MCR MCR PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............51 51 55 59 63 67 70 73 74 76 76 76 RH..............69 71 64 57 51 47 44 42 41 39 39 39 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S 20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 3 5 6 7 7 8 7 7 7 6 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 10 10 10 10 10 10 5 EYE LVL WND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S EYE LVL WND SPD.1 1 2 3 4 4 4 5 4 4 4 4 EYE LVL WND GST.3 3 3 3 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 3 TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W TRANSP WIND SPD.17 17 18 20 21 22 22 22 21 18 16 14 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 $$ FORECASTER...B SMITH REQUESTED BY...MARK MORALES TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090421.SHULE.01/LZK