FNUS73 KEAX 221259 FWSEAX SPOT FORECAST FOR LONE 20 AND MC SOUTHWEST...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 759 AM CDT WED APR 22 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 CDT ON APRIL 22. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... MID LEVEL CLOUDINESS THIS MORNING MAY YIELD A FEW SCATTERED SPRINKLES ACROSS THE SPOT FORECAST AREA. OTHERWISE...THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD MOVE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE LOCATION BY THE MID TO LATE MORNING HOURS WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES TO FOLLOW. LIGHT WINDS THIS MORNING WILL BECOME SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST AT 5 TO 8 MPH THIS AFTERNOON WHILE A FEW CLOUDS GIVE WAY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND WARM TEMPERATURES. DEWPOINT TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S WILL ALLOW RH VALUES TO DROP INTO THE MID TO UPPER 30% RANGE BY MID AFTERNOON...OTHERWISE RH VALUES SHOULD REMAIN ABOVE 40% THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY. A WARM FRONT WILL BRING AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR TWO EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...BEFORE GIVING WAY TO GUSTY SOUTH WINDS AND VERY WARM TEMPERATURES ON THURSDAY. DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY...ALONG WITH A CONTINUATION OF GUSTY WINDS AND INCREASING HUMIDITY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THIS MORNING BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). ISOLATED SPRINKLES IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80. MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.10 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE MORNING BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000-5800 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 2 TO 7 MPH. TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........44 40 33 30 29 27 26 25 23 WEATHER COV.....ISO ISO ISO WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW TEMP............64 68 71 74 76 78 80 78 77 RH..............50 45 42 40 38 36 35 37 39 20 FT WIND DIR..SE S SW SW SW SW S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..3 5 6 7 7 7 7 6 5 20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 10 10 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52. MAX HUMIDITY........84 PERCENT. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT EARLY IN THE MORNING. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 15 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM SKY (%).........22 28 31 34 37 40 42 43 46 49 52 55 WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW TEMP............75 71 67 64 63 61 60 59 58 57 56 55 RH..............43 49 56 62 65 69 72 75 78 81 82 84 20 FT WIND DIR..S S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..3 5 6 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 9 20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 15 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82. MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.20 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO 18 TO 22 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2900-4000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 15 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH 25 TO 31 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........56 55 54 52 50 49 48 47 45 43 41 39 WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............55 59 64 68 72 75 77 79 80 82 80 80 RH..............85 76 66 58 53 50 47 46 44 43 45 47 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 12 14 16 18 21 22 21 20 20 18 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 20 20 25 30 30 30 30 30 25 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 $$ FORECASTER...DEROCHE REQUESTED BY...DEON STEINLE TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090422.LONE2.01/EAX