FNUS73 KMPX 221254
FWSMPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR SABOLIK...USFWS FERGUS FALLS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
754 AM CDT WED APR 22 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 CDT ON APRIL 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TODAY...AND BRING LIGHT NORTHWEST
WINDS. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM INTO THE LOW 60S AT THE BURN SITE...AND
COMBINE WITH DECREASING RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AROUND OR SLIGHTLY BELOW 30 PERCENT
THIS AFTERNOON. THE HIGH WILL MOVE OFF BY LATE AFTERNOON...AND
CAUSE WINDS TO SHIFT TO SOUTHEASTERLY IN DIRECTION FOR THIS EVENING AND
TONIGHT. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE INCREASING ON THURSDAY...WITH GUSTS
TO AROUND 30 MPH POSSIBLE DURING THE AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........57 AT IGNITION...MAX 62.
RH..................35 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS EAST AT 4 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING
                    SOUTHEAST 5 TO 9 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (1700-44100).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4200-4900 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 3 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 5
                    TO 14 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM   9 PM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............51     57     61     62     60     56
RH..............42     35     31     30     34     41
20 FT WIND......E 4    E 4    SE 5   SE 6   SE 10  SE 12
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5             10     15     20
HAINES INDEX....5      5      4      3      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 47.
RH..................MAX 79 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (5200-54700).

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 81.
RH..................MIN 32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 18 TO 23 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 35 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 TO 6 OR OR MODERATE TO OR HIGH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (5200-55800) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (84300-120600) EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (151900-154800) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO GOOD (46800-48200).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2300-3400 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING TO
                    3800-5500 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 2000 FT AGL LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 28 TO 37 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...SCHMIT
REQUESTED BY...TROY BOSCHEE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090422.SABOL.01/MPX