FNUS75 KMSO 221715 FWSMSO SPOT FORECAST FOR DOOLITTLE UNIT 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT 1115 AM MDT WED APR 22 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 MDT ON APRIL 22. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...BIG WEATHER STORY TODAY IS RIDGE BREAKING DOWN INCREASING WINDS ANOTHER SURGE OF MID LEVEL MOISTURE SETTING OFF ISOLATED MAINLY MOUNTAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WITH THE UNSHELTERED NATURE OF THE BURN...WINDS WILL INCREASE SOONER WITH THE SOUTH ASPECT. WITH THE THERMAL BOUNDARY VERY CLOSE TO THE FIRE...ISOLATED HIGH BASED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE WITH ERRATIC GUSTY WINDS THE MAIN THREAT. WITH AN APPROACHING WEATHER SYSTEM...CLOUDS WILL INCREASE TOWARD MORNING WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS BY LATE MORNING THURSDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON...MAINLY AFTER 1500 MDT. CWR.................10 PERCENT. MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69. MIN HUMIDITY........15-20 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5-10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON...TO 45 MPH NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........WEST 30 MPH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. CWR.................10 PERCENT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....32-37. MAX HUMIDITY........80-85 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6-13 MPH AND GUSTY IN THE EVENING BECOMING DOWNSLOPE 3-7 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........WEST 15 MPH. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................40 PERCENT. MAX TEMPERATURE.....42-47. MIN HUMIDITY........36-41 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5-10 MPH IN THE MORNING...BECOMING NORTHWEST WINDS 5-10 MPH AFTER 1200 MDT. MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........WEST 15 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...MEAD REQUESTED BY...DDC TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090422.DOOLI.01/MSO