FNUS73 KEAX 231532 FWSEAX SPOT FORECAST FOR ANDERSON POINT...MDC NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 1032 AM CDT THU APR 23 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0947 CDT ON APRIL 23. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A MID LEVEL DISTURBANCE WHICH BROUGHT AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TO PORTIONS OF EASTERN KANSAS AS WELL AS CENTRAL AND NORTHERN MISSOURI CONTINUES TO LIFT NORTHEAST INTO NORTH-CENTRAL MISSOURI THIS MORNING. THIS SYSTEM HAS SENT AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY SOUTHWARD INTO CENTRAL MISSOURI WHICH WILL MAKE THE WIND FORECAST A BIT TRICKY. BELIEVE WINDS AT THE BURN LOCATION SHOULD REMAIN OUT OF A SOUTHERLY DIRECTION WITH STRONGER AND GUSTIER CONDITIONS A FEW COUNTIES SOUTH OF THIS LOCATION. SHOULD THE AIR MASS RECOVER SUFFICIENTLY THIS AFTERNOON...WINDS MAY GUST HIGHER THAN EXPECTED. ELEVATED AMOUNTS OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL PROVIDE MINIMUM RH VALUES IN THE MID 40% RANGE BY THE MID AFTERNOON HOURS. OTHERWISE...INCREASING SUNSHINE AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN BE EXPECTED LATE THIS MORNING AND INTO THIS AFTERNOON. STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WILL DEVELOP SATURDAY... ALTHOUGH HAZARDOUS FIRE DANGER SHOULD BE OFFSET BY INCREASING HUMIDITY THROUGH THE PERIOD. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81. MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.10 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 16 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3600-3800 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 16 TO 20 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 16 MPH. TIME (CDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........45 43 41 38 36 35 31 28 25 22 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............69 71 72 72 73 75 76 78 80 78 RH..............72 61 60 59 58 54 51 48 45 48 20 FT WIND DIR..SE S S SW SW SW SW S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..8 13 14 15 16 16 16 15 15 15 20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 20 20 25 25 25 25 20 20 EYE LVL WND DIR.SE S S SW SW SW SW S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.8 13 14 15 16 16 16 15 15 15 EYE LVL WND GST.10 15 20 20 25 25 25 25 20 20 HAINES INDEX....5 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62. MAX HUMIDITY........68 PERCENT. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.10 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 16 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 18 MPH. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 16 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM SKY (%).........20 21 24 27 30 32 34 34 34 34 33 33 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............76 75 72 70 69 68 67 66 65 65 64 64 RH..............50 53 56 57 58 60 62 63 65 66 67 68 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..14 13 12 10 10 10 12 13 14 15 15 16 20 FT WIND GUST.20 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.14 13 12 10 10 10 12 13 14 15 15 16 EYE LVL WND GST.20 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82. MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.10 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. SOUTH WINDS 17 TO 25 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500-3300 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 20 TO 28 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 32 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....BREEZY. SOUTH WINDS 17 TO 25 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........33 34 36 38 39 41 42 43 45 45 41 31 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............64 66 70 73 75 77 78 79 80 81 80 79 RH..............67 64 59 55 52 50 49 48 47 46 48 50 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..17 20 22 23 24 24 24 25 25 25 24 22 20 FT WIND GUST.20 25 30 35 30 30 30 30 35 35 35 35 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.17 20 22 23 24 24 24 25 25 25 24 22 EYE LVL WND GST.20 25 30 35 30 30 30 30 35 35 35 35 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...DEROCHE REQUESTED BY...JOSH SHROYER TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20090423.ANDER.01/EAX