FNUS75 KGJT 222143
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR DAVE WOOD RX...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
343 PM MDT WED APR 22 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0830 MDT ON APRIL 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SMALL DISTURBANCES WILL CONTINUE MOVING ACROSS
WESTERN COLORADO AS THE UPPER RIDGE BREAKS DOWN. SOUTHWEST FLOW
WILL STRENGTHEN THURSDAY...AND MORE SO ON FRIDAY AS AN UPPER
TROUGH MOVES INTO THE GREAT BASIN BY FRIDAY. STRONGER WINDS SHOULD
HELP VENTILATE THE BURN SITE...AND THUS THE FORECAST IS FOR LOWER
AFTERNOON HUMIDITIES THAN RECENTLY OBSERVED.


.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30%) UNTIL 1300...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%). ISOLAT
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-68 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........21-24%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH UNTIL 1030...THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST 8-11 MPH. GUSTS
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR BECOMING TO EXCELLENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......14000 FT AGL. SMOKE LIKELY SHEARED TO THE NORTHEAST BEFORE REACHING MAXIMUM MIX
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST SOUTHWEST 22 MPH.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%). ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....34-39 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........70-80%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25
                    MPH UNTIL 2000...THEN BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH BY 2130. GUSTY AND ER
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (21600-24500 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL AFTER 2100.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 26 MPH UNTIL 2000...THEN BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH AFTER 21

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-67 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 MPH INCREASING TO 10-15 MPH BY 1300. GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH AFTER 1300.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN BECOMING EXCELLENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 MPH BY 1200...INCREASING TO 39 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JIM DANIELS
REQUESTED BY...MAPLE TAYLOR
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090423.DAVEW.01/GJT