FNUS72 KMFL 231618 FWSMFL SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEP FIRE...COLLIER CTY EM NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 1218 PM EDT THU APR 23 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1100 EDT ON APRIL 23. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING... .DISCUSSION...SOUTHEAST WINDS CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA. THIS HAS BROUGHT IN SLIGHTLY HIGHER LOW LEVEL MOISTURE COMPARED TO YESTERDAY. HOWEVER...DRY AIR ABOVE THE SURFACE IS EXPECTED TO MIX DOWNWARD AS SURFACE HEATING CONTINUES. THIS IS STILL EXPECTED TO ALLOW RH'S TO FALL BELOW 35 PERCENT FOR 4 HOURS OR MORE. DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE ALONG WITH GENERALLY GOOD DISPERSION AS TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BLOW OUT OF THE EAST AT 10 TO 15 MPH. A GULF COAST SEA BREEZE HAS DEVELOPED AND IS MOVING SLOWLY INLAND. HOWEVER...IT NOW APPEARS THAT THE LOW LEVEL WINDS OUT OF THE EAST TO SOUTHEAST WILL BE JUST STRONG ENOUGH TO KEEP THE SEA BREEZE JUST EAST OF THE WILDFIRE SITE. THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE THAT THE SEA BREEZE COULD MAKE IT TO THE SITE...AND IF IT DOES THERE WOULD BE A SUDDEN SHIFT IN WINDS TO THE WEST ALONG WITH INCREASING RH'S. HOWEVER...AT THIS TIME THE BEST ESTIMATE IS THAT WINDS WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE EAST. LIGHT NE FLOW IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT...AND WITH CLEAR SKIES AND HIGH SURFACE MOISTURE RE-DEVELOPING...THIS COULD LEAD TO PATCHY FOG ACROSS THE AREA. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87. MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT. DEWPOINT............58. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......3800-5000 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........EAST 9 TO 10 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....47 INCREASING TO 57 IN THE AFTERNOON. LVORI...............2. TIME (EDT) 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM 7 PM 9 PM SKY (%).........19 24 25 25 25 21 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 TEMP............83 85 87 85 80 73 RH..............42 34 30 32 46 63 20 FT WIND......SE 5 SE 5 E 6 E 5 E 5 E 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 EYE LEVEL WIND..SE 5 SE 5 E 6 E 5 E 5 E 5 EYE LVL WIND G..10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....3800 3800 5000 4300 4300 2800 MIXNG WIND......SE 9 SE 9 E 10 E 9 E 9 E 8 DISP IDX (LDSI).47 47 61 52 52 32 LVORI...........2 2 1 2 2 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. DEWPOINT............60. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-2800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIXING WINDS........EAST 5 TO 8 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....32 DECREASING TO 2. LVORI...............7. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88. MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT. DEWPOINT............61. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 8 TO 12 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 8 TO 12 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3600-5000 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........EAST 6 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. DISPERSION INDEX....20 INCREASING TO 56 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 73 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 50 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. LVORI...............4. $$ FORECASTER...GREGORIA REQUESTED BY...RICK Z TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE