FNUS75 KPUB 231152
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLACK MOUNTAIN RX...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
552 AM MDT THU APR 23 2009

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

I DO NOT EXPECT WE WILL SEE MUCH CHANGE IN THE WEATHER TODAY AS
COMPARED TO YESTERDAY. IT WILL BE MOSTLY SUNNY AND WARM WITH
HIGHS TODAY IN THE 70S. MIN RH VALUES WILL BE 10-15%.
THERE MAY BE ONE OR TWO DRY LIGHTNING FLASHES...BUT THE ODDS OF
THIS OCCURRING ARE QUITE LOW. SOME GUSTY WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH
VIRGA SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE...BUT ONCE AGAIN THE ODDS ARE LOW.

AS DISCUSSED ON THE PHONE EARLIER THIS MORNING...RED FLAG CRITERIA
FROM A METEOROLOGICAL STANDPOINT WILL BE MET TOMORROW AS RH VALUES WILL
CONTINUE TO BE QUITE LOW AND WINDS WILL BE INCREASING FROM THE SOUTHWEST.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(42 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1500.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-71F.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-15 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........DOWNSLOPE 3 TO 6 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN WEST 8-12 MPH.
                    GUSTS TO 20 MPH POSSIBLE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 17500 FT AGL AFTER
                    1100.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 19 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. EXCELLENT AFTER 1100.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1500...THEN 2.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45F.
MAX HUMIDITY........33-38 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11000 FT AGL UNTIL 2100. 500 FT AGL AFTER 2200.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 23 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2000. POOR AFTER 2200.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2100...THEN 1.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(27 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72F.
MIN HUMIDITY........9-14 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    28 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 10000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 35 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN EXCELLENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...HODANISH
REQUESTED BY...DENNIS PAGE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090423.BLACK.01/PUB