FNUS73 KAPX 241331
FWSAPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR CAMP 8...DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
931 AM EDT FRI APR 24 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 EDT ON APRIL 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...LOOKING AT A MOSTLY PRECIPITATION FREE AFTERNOON ACROSS
NORTHEAST LOWER MICHIGAN.  WATCHING A LINE OF SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS OVER
NORTHEAST WISCONSIN AT MID MORNING...CURRENT EXPECTATION IS THAT THESE
WILL NOT IMPACT EASTERN PORTIONS OF LOWER MICHIGAN THIS AFTERNOON.
WILL SEE SOME MID/HIGH CLOUDS LATER THIS AFTERNOON...BUT EXPECT A GOOD
BIT OF SUNSHINE TODAY.  AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO CLIMB INTO
THE LOWER-MID 70S...RELATIVE HUMIDITY RECOVERY HAS BEEN A BIT SLOWER TO
OCCUR THAN EXPECTED OVER THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS...BUT ARE FORECASTING DEW
POINTS TO CLIMB AT LEAST INTO THE MID-UPPER 40S THIS AFTERNOON WITH AN
INCREASING SOUTHERLY FLOW.  THIS SHOULD KEEP MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES
ABOVE 35 PERCENT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........66 AT IGNITION...MAX 73.
RH..................44 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 8 MPH AT IGNITION...BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST WINDS 11 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS 20 TO 25
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...MAX AROUND 3000 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (600) AT IGNITION. MAX...EXCELLENT
                    (1000).

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 58.
RH..................MAX 69 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 25 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JOHN BORIS
REQUESTED BY...RANDY MCKENZIE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090424.CAMP8.01/APX