FNUS73 KAPX 241459
FWSAPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR GTB POW WOW...BIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1059 AM EDT FRI APR 24 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1105 EDT ON APRIL 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...WATCHING A LINE OF SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS OVER NORTHEAST
WISCONSIN AT LATE MORNING...CURRENT EXPECTATION IS THAT THESE WILL NOT
IMPACT NORTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN LATER THIS AFTERNOON...BUT WE'LL KEEP
AN EYE ON THAT.  CLOUD COVER WILL LIKELY BE ON THE INCREASE BY EARLY
AFTERNOON.  AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO CLIMB TO NEAR 70 DEGREES
NEAR THE WATER...RELATIVE HUMIDITY RECOVERY HAS BEEN A BIT SLOWER TO
OCCUR THAN EXPECTED OVER THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS...BUT ARE EXPECTING DEW
POINTS TO CLIMB AT LEAST INTO THE MID-UPPER 40S THIS AFTERNOON WITH AN
INCREASING SOUTHERLY FLOW.  THIS SHOULD KEEP MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES
ABOVE 40 PERCENT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........60 AT IGNITION...MAX 68.
RH..................60 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 7 MPH AT IGNITION...THEN
                    BECOMING SOUTHWEST 12 TO 16 MPH AFTER 1 PM...
                    WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH THIS AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL AT IGNITION...MAX 1800 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 47.
RH..................MAX 86 PERCENT.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 55.
RH..................MIN 67 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-800 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........MAX 3.

$$
FORECASTER...JOHN BORIS
REQUESTED BY...WILL WIGGINS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090424.GTBPO.02/APX