FNUS73 KAPX 241355
FWSAPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR HANKINS RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
955 AM EDT FRI APR 24 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON APRIL 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...LOOKING AT A MOSTLY PRECIPITATION FREE AFTERNOON ACROSS
NORTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN.  WATCHING A LINE OF SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS OVER
NORTHEAST WISCONSIN AT MID MORNING...CURRENT EXPECTATION IS THAT THESE
WILL NOT IMPACT NORTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN LATER THIS AFTERNOON...BUT WE'LL
KEEP AN EYE ON THAT.  AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO CLIMB INTO THE
MID 70S...RELATIVE HUMIDITY RECOVERY HAS BEEN A BIT SLOWER TO OCCUR
THAN EXPECTED OVER THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS...BUT ARE EXPECTING DEW POINTS
TO CLIMB AT LEAST INTO THE MID-UPPER 40S THIS AFTERNOON WITH AN
INCREASING SOUTHERLY FLOW.  THIS SHOULD KEEP MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES
ABOVE 35 PERCENT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........61 AT IGNITION...MAX 74.
RH..................45 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST 6 10 MPH AT IGNITION...BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST 11 TO 15 MPH BY 1 PM WITH GUSTS 20 TO
                    25 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 20
                    TO 25 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO NEAR 3000 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (200) AT IGNITION. MAX...EXCELLENT (800).

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 57.
RH..................MAX 75 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 20 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 21 TO 28 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1600 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........MIN 3.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MIN FAIR(200).

$$
FORECASTER...JOHN BORIS
REQUESTED BY...JOE RASPOTNIK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090424.HANKI.01/APX