FNUS73 KAPX 241309
FWSAPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR SUMMERS RD...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
909 AM EDT FRI APR 24 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EDT ON APRIL 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...LOOKING AT A MOSTLY PRECIPITATION FREE AFTERNOON ACROSS
NORTHEAST LOWER MICHIGAN.  WATCHING A LINE OF SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS OVER
NORTHEAST WISCONSIN AT MID MORNING...CURRENT EXPECTATION IS THAT THESE
WILL NOT IMPACT EASTERN PORTIONS OF LOWER MICHIGAN LATER THIS AFTERNOON.
WILL SEE SOME MID/HIGH CLOUDS LATER THIS MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.
AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO CLIMB INTO THE LOWER-MID 70S...
RELATIVE HUMIDITY RECOVERY HAS BEEN A BIT SLOWER TO OCCUR THAN
EXPECTED OVER THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS...BUT ARE EXPECTING DEW POINTS
TO CLIMB AT LEAST INTO THE MID-UPPER 40S THIS AFTERNOON WITH AN
INCREASING SOUTHERLY FLOW.  THIS SHOULD KEEP MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES ABOVE 35 PERCENT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........62 AT IGNITION...MAX 73.
RH..................45 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 9 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH THROUGH LATE MORNING...
                    THEN TURNING MORE SOUTHWESTERLY 11 TO 15 MPH AFTER
                    1 PM.  WIND GUSTS THIS AFTERNOON TO APPROACH 20 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 20
                    TO 22 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 100-1900 FT
                    AGL INCREASING TO 3300 FT AGL LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (300) AT IGNITION. MAX...EXCELLENT (900).

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 61.
RH..................MAX 72 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 21 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 24 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 23
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2300 FT AGL.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MIN POOR(100).

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 65.
RH..................MIN 63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 29 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 17
                    TO 21 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 1600 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MAX EXCELLENT(1400).

$$
FORECASTER...JOHN BORIS
REQUESTED BY...PAUL ROOSE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090424.SUMME.01/APX