FNUS73 KGRR 241328
FWSGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR DANAHER CREEK  1...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
928 AM EDT FRI APR 24 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1400 EDT ON APRIL 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL PICK UP DURING THE DAY TODAY AND
ALLOW WARMER AIR TO MOVE IN ACROSS THE AREA. HUMIDITIES WILL
INCREASE A BIT...BUT SOME OF THE MOISTURE ADVECTED NORTH OUT OF THE
GULF OF MEXICO WILL MIX OUT IN THE DRIER AIR ALOFT. A COLD FRONT WILL
THEN MOVE THROUGH THE AREA DURING THE DAY ON SATURDAY. THIS WILL BRING
COOLER WEATHER IN ALONG WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR RAINFALL. RAIN
POTENTIAL WILL CONTINUE OF AND ON INTO LATE MONDAY.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........73 AT IGNITION...MAX 77.
RH..................48 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 18 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 16 TO 21 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 9 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 22 TO
                    26 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2100-2600
                    FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD /400 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD TO EXCELLENT
                    (400-700 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 60.
RH..................MAX 65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 16 TO 21 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-1200 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........5 EARLY THEN DECREASING TO 2 OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD THEN POOR (300 DECREASING TO 100 KNOT-FT).

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS UNTIL MIDDAY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    THROUGH THE DAY. SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 66.
RH..................MIN 60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 21 TO 28 MPH BECOMING NORTH 12 TO 17
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1500 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (100-400 KNOT-FT).

$$
FORECASTER...MEADE
REQUESTED BY...JOHN HUSCHKE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090424.DANAH.01/GRR