FNUS74 KLZK 241316
FWSLZK

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLACKFORK...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
816 AM CDT FRI APR 24 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON APRIL 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

BREEZY SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL RETURN ONCE AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON.
EXPECT WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH...WITH GUSTS AROUND 30 MPH ACROSS THE
STATE. A LAKE WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED...EFFECTIVE FROM LATE
THIS MORNING THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. MORNING CLOUDS SHOULD
BREAK UP SOME THIS AFTERNOON. WHILE WINDS WILL BE SIMILAR TO
THURSDAY...EXPECT HIGHER DEW POINTS THIS AFTERNOON WHICH WILL
KEEP RH VALUES ABOVE RFW AND ELEVATED FIRE DANGER LEVELS. ISOLATED
SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS WESTERN ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON.
BETTER CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE IN THE FORECAST
FOR LATER IN THE WEEKEND AS A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT APPROACHES
THE REGION FROM THE NORTH. THIS FRONT WILL THEN STALL OUT ACROSS
THE MID AND LOWER MS RIVER VALLEY EARLY NEXT WEEK...AND IN
CONJUNCTION WITH SEVERAL UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES PASSING OVER THE
REGION...THIS WILL KEEP CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE FORECAST FOR MUCH OF NEXT WEEK.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........75 AT IGNITION...MAX 82.
RH..................59 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 45 PERCENT.
TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 29 TO 31 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 4000 FT MSL.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTH AT 11 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 16 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
WEATHER COV.....        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....        TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............75  77  79  80  80  81  80
RH..............59  52  49  47  46  48  51
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..15  16  16  16  16  16  16
20 FT WIND GUST.25  25  25  25  30  30  30
MIX HGT (KFT)...BECOMING 4000 FT
TRANSP WIND DIR.S   S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.30  30  30  30  29  29  29

$$
FORECASTER...J GOUDSWARD
REQUESTED BY...DOUG NELSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090424.BLACK.01/LZK