FNUS73 KMPX 241249
FWSMPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR LOST VALLEY...MN DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
749 AM CDT FRI APR 24 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON APRIL 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
COLD FRONT IS APPROACHING BURN SITE THIS MORNING AND AT 7 AM WAS LOCATED FROM THE
WESTERN TWIN CITIES METRO AREA UP THROUGH HINCKLEY MN. THE FRONT WILL PUSH
THROUGH THE BURN AREA NEAR THE NOON HOUR. NEAR IGNITION TIME WINDS WILL BE OUT
OF THE SW AT 10 MPH...BEFORE TURNING TO THE N. BY THE AFTERNOON...WINDS WILL BE
SUSTAINED AT 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUST TO 25 MPH. FRONTAL PASSAGE WILL BE DRY...WITH
MOST RAINFALL WELL BEHIND THE FRONT HOLDING OFF UNTIL LATER THIS EVENING.
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BE HELD IN CHECK TODAY BY COOLER AIR WORKING IN...WITH
AFTERNOON RHS STAYING ABOVE 40 PERCENT.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........66 AT IGNITION...MAX 75.
RH..................52 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 11 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11
                    MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 11 TO 16 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE AT IGNITION...MAX 6.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (18700-49300).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-2800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200-4700 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 16 TO 23 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 8 TO 15
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....                            S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............61     66     72     75     75     69
RH..............62     52     41     34     32     36
20 FT WIND......S 9    SW 10  NW 9   N 9    N 11   N 14
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     15     20     25
HAINES INDEX....6      5      4      4      4      4

.TONIGHT...

TEMPERATURE.........MIN 44.
RH..................MAX 73 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 53.
RH..................MIN 52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...GRIESINGER
REQUESTED BY...RUSS SMITH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090424.LOSTV.01/MPX