FNUS73 KMQT 241153 FWSMQT SPOT FORECAST FOR RIFLE RANGE SNOW ON...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 753 AM EDT FRI APR 24 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON APRIL 24. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...EXPECT A COLD FRONT TO SWING ACROSS THE BURN SITE AROUND SUNRISE ON SATURDAY. AHEAD OF THE FRONT...SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO RISE INTO THE MIDDLE 60S TODAY AND ONLY FALL TO AROUND 50 DEGREES TONIGHT. THERE IS A VERY SMALL CHANCE OF A SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM AROUND MIDDAY TODAY...BUT FOR THE MOST PART SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL NOT ARRIVE IN THE AREA UNTIL LATE THIS EVENING. EXPECT LIKELY SHOWERS ON SATURDAY WITH HIGHS ONLY RISING A FEW DEGREES FROM OVERNIGHT LOWS AS WINDS BECOME NORTHERLY BEHIND THE FRONT. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....56 AT IGNITION...MAX 69. MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 46 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......WINDS SOUTH AT 12 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4...OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 23 TO 46 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 20 TO 37 MPH BY LATE MORNING. VENTILATION INDEX...FAIR (289) AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD (551). MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 2500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........26 35 30 33 43 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............56 63 67 68 67 RH..............57 50 48 47 51 GENERAL WIND....S 10 S 11 S 12 S 12 S 10 GENERAL GUST....20 20 25 25 25 VINDX KT-FT/100.289 428 482 547 452 MIX HGT (FT)....1000 1800 2200 2400 1700 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 48. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 92 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........3...OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 28 TO 49 MPH INCREASING TO 36 TO 60 MPH BY MIDNIGHT...THEN BECOMING WEST AND DECREASING TO 23 TO 45 MPH LATE. VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (68). MIXING HEIGHT.......200-700 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....NONE TO 0.07 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM 6 AM SKY (%).........50 56 64 70 75 81 WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............62 59 55 52 50 49 RH..............64 72 81 92 91 88 GENERAL WIND....S 6 S 6 S 7 SW 8 SW 8 SW 7 GENERAL GUST....15 15 15 15 15 15 VINDX KT-FT/100.136 68 76 113 214 209 MIX HGT (FT)....500 200 200 300 500 700 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 2 3 3 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY THROUGH THE DAY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 54. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 54 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......WEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST BY LATE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. HAINES INDEX........3...OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 11 TO 29 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 20 TO 33 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. VENTILATION INDEX...EXCELLENT (639 INCREASING TO 919). MIXING HEIGHT.......700-1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.35 TO 0.50 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........86 88 90 92 84 73 WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............48 50 52 52 53 52 RH..............84 73 65 60 57 54 GENERAL WIND....W 6 W 6 W 6 NW 7 NW 7 NW 10 GENERAL GUST....15 15 10 15 15 20 VINDX KT-FT/100.145 174 267 468 808 919 MIX HGT (FT)....700 1200 1700 2200 3400 4000 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 2 $$ FORECASTER...JLA REQUESTED BY...KAREN WAALEN TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090424.RIFLE.01/MQT