FNUS75 KPUB 241201
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLACK MOUNTAIN RX...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
601 AM MDT FRI APR 24 2009

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

IT WILL BE WARM AND BECOMING WINDY FOR TODAY. MONARCH PASS WIND SENSOR
AT 530 AM THIS MORNING WAS INDICATING WINDS IN EXCESS OF NEARLY 60
MPH...SO STRONG WINDS ARE NOT TOO FAR ABOVE THE GROUND. I DO NOT THINK
WE WILL SEE MUCH IN THE WAY OF CLOUDS TODAY...SO NO VIRGA SHOWERS ARE
EXPECTED.

I DO WISH TO MENTION THAT METEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS DO SUPPORT RED FLAG
CONDITIONS FOR TODAY OVER THE BURN AREA. HOWEVER...THE BLM FUELS PAGE
INDICATE ALL AREAS IN THE NWS PUEBLO FORECAST AREA ARE IN THE "WET"
CATEGORY. LIKEWISE...NO RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT.

LATER THIS EVENING...AROUND 2200 - 2300 LOCAL...WE SHOULD SEE A FRONT
AFFECT THE REGION WITH WINDS SHIFTING TO A SOUTHEASTERLY COMPONENT. WE
MAY SEE SOME LOWER CLOUDS TOWARDS SUNRISE.

FOR TOMORROW...IT WILL BE COOLER WITH HIGHER RH VALUES. THERE WILL BE A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.

HODANISH

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65F.
MIN HUMIDITY........13-18 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 10-15 MPH BY MID TO LATE
                    MORNING WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 8000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN EXCELLENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(54 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AFTER 0300.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....34-39F.
MAX HUMIDITY........61-66 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WEST WINDS 10-15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN 500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 26 MPH UNTIL 0500...THEN AROUND 14
                    MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2100...THEN POOR.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY(66 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 1200...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-58F.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-33 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH WINDS 9-13 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 9500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 23 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900. EXCELLENT AFTER 1200.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...HODANISH
REQUESTED BY...DENNIS PAGE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090424.BLACK.01/PUB