FNUS74 KLZK 251328
FWSLZK

SPOT FORECAST FOR BUFFALO CREEK...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
828 AM CDT SAT APR 25 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON APRIL 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON AS TIGHT
PRESSURE GRADIENT FORMS AS A RESULT OF A DEVELOPING SURFACE LOW
PRESSURE TO THE WEST OF ARKANSAS. EXPECT WINDS OF 15 TO 20
MPH..WITH GUSTS OF 25 TO 30 MPH. MIN RH VALUES SHOULD REMAIN
AROUND 40 TO 50 PERCENT SINCE GULF MOISTURE HAS BEEN STREAMING
NORTHWARD THE PAST COUPLE DAYS. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY...MAINLY ACROSS WESTERN PORTIONS
OF THE STATE. SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT COMBINED WITH AN APPROACHING
FRONT FROM THE NORTH WILL BRING BETTER CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MOST OF THE STATE STARTING SUNDAY INTO
MONDAY. THIS FRONT WILL THEN STALL ACROSS THE REGION TUESDAY...AND
WITH SEVERAL IMPULSES OF UPPER LEVEL ENERGY STREAMING ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS DURING THE WEEK...EXPECT CONTINUING
UNSETTLED WEATHER THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
TEMPERATURE.........74 AT IGNITION...MAX 80.
RH..................64 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 55 PERCENT.
TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 26 TO 31 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 4700 FT MSL.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTH AT 12 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 16 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............74  76  77  78  79  79  79
RH..............64  61  59  57  56  55  55
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..16  16  16  16  16  16  15
20 FT WIND GUST.25  30  30  30  30  30  30
MIX HGT (KFT)...BECOMING 4700 FT
TRANSP WIND DIR.S   S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.31  31  31  31  31  31  31

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 65.
RH..................MAX 80 PERCENT.
TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 29 TO 30 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 2400 FT MSL.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 12 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  CLOUDY CLOUDY
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............78     75     71     70     68     67
RH..............56     61     66     68     72     75
20 FT WIND......S 14   S 12   S 12   S 12   S 12   S 12
20 FT WIND GUST.30     20     15     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....BECOMING 2400 FT
TRANSP WIND DIR.S      S      S      S      S      S
TRANSP WIND SPD.30     30     29     29     29     30

$$
FORECASTER...J GOUDSWARD
REQUESTED BY...DOUG NELSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090425.BUFFA.01/LZK