FNUS74 KLZK 251441 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR HOLE IN THE GROUND...U.S. FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 941 AM CDT SAT APR 25 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 CDT ON APRIL 25. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON AS TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT FORMS AS A RESULT OF A DEVELOPING SURFACE LOW PRESSURE TO THE WEST OF ARKANSAS. EXPECT WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH..WITH GUSTS OF 25 TO 30 MPH. MIN RH VALUES SHOULD REMAIN AROUND 40 TO 50 PERCENT SINCE GULF MOISTURE HAS BEEN STREAMING NORTHWARD THE PAST COUPLE DAYS. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY...MAINLY ACROSS WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE STATE. SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT COMBINED WITH AN APPROACHING FRONT FROM THE NORTH WILL BRING BETTER CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MOST OF THE STATE STARTING SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. THIS FRONT WILL THEN STALL ACROSS THE REGION TUESDAY...AND WITH SEVERAL IMPULSES OF UPPER LEVEL ENERGY STREAMING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS DURING THE WEEK...EXPECT CONTINUING UNSETTLED WEATHER THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........78 AT IGNITION...MAX 80. RH..................58 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 54 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 12 TO 20 MPH TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 29 TO 32 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 4600 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....3. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTH AT 12 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 16 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH. TIME (CDT) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............78 78 79 80 79 RH..............58 56 54 54 54 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..13 15 16 15 14 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 20 20 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.10 10 10 9 8 EYE LVL WND GST.15 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...BECOMING 4600 FT TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.31 31 31 31 31 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 20 20 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 65. RH..................MAX 79 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 31 TO 32 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 2600 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....4. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............78 75 72 70 68 67 RH..............55 60 66 68 72 75 20 FT WIND......S 13 S 10 S 10 S 12 S 12 S 12 20 FT WIND GUST.30 15 15 15 15 15 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.8 6 6 7 7 7 EYE LVL WND GST.15 8 8 8 8 8 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.31 31 32 32 32 32 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 $$ FORECASTER...J GOUDSWARD REQUESTED BY...ADAM STROTHERS TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090425.HOLEI.01/LZK