FNUS75 KBOU 261523 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR ELK RESEARCH...NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 920 AM MDT SUN APR 26 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL BRING RAIN AND SNOW TO THE SURVEY SITE FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING. HOWEVER...CONDITIONS SHOULD BE IMPROVING BY LATE MONDAY MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON AS THE SYSTEM MOVES EAST OF THE REGION. CLOUDS SHOULD BE LIFTING DURING THE COURSE OF THE AFTERNOON WITH THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS DECREASING. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1200...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....44. MIN HUMIDITY........40%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......VARIABLE 4-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12-20 MPH. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200 UNTIL 1800...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS AROUND 50. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200 UNTIL 1800...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 0600...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR ELK RESEARCH. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 04/27-04 92 59 22 86 SE 3 1 2398 SW 13 25758 P 04/27-05 92 59 22 83 SE 3 1 2417 SW 13 27762 P 04/27-06 91 40 23 81 SE 2 2 2 1 SW37 2436 SW 14 29766 P 04/27-07 91 40 24 81 SE 6 1 4219 W 21 76964 G 04/27-08 91 40 26 74 SE 6 1 4966 W 22 95953 G 04/27-09 78 40 30 65 SE 7 12 2 1 SW17 5714 W 23 114943 V 04/27-10 78 40 33 55 SE 7 1 6880 W 20 109853 V 04/27-11 78 40 36 48 S 7 1 8046 W 16 104763 V 04/27-12 65 10 39 44 S 8 13 2 1 W20 9212 W 13 99673 G 04/27-13 65 10 40 41 SW 8 1 8899 W 13 99217 G 04/27-14 65 10 42 40 SW 8 1 8587 W 14 98761 G 04/27-15 65 10 42 40 W 6 6 2 1 W40 8274 W 14 98305 G 04/27-16 65 10 43 40 W 6 1 7695 W 15 100113 V 04/27-17 65 10 42 41 SW 6 1 7116 W 17 101920 V 04/27-18 67 0 41 42 S 7 7 3 1 W44 6537 W 18 103727 V 04/27-19 67 0 40 42 S 7 1 5977 SW 20 102236 V 04/27-20 67 0 38 44 S 6 1 5416 SW 22 100745 V 04/27-21 67 0 36 47 S 6 6 3 1 W44 4856 SW 23 99253 G 04/27-22 67 0 34 49 S 6 1 4144 SW 24 85598 G 04/27-23 67 0 33 50 S 6 1 3432 SW 24 71943 G 04/28-00 51 0 32 51 S 6 6 3 1 W43 2719 SW 24 58288 F 04/28-01 51 0 31 51 S 6 1 2138 SW 21 42766 F 04/28-02 51 0 31 51 SW 5 1 1557 SW 17 27243 P 04/28-03 51 0 30 50 SW 5 5 2 1 SW39 976 SW 14 11721 P 04/28-04 51 0 30 50 SW 5 1 804 SW 14 9458 P 04/28-05 51 0 30 49 SW 6 1 631 SW 13 7196 P 04/28-06 51 0 30 48 SW 6 6 2 1 SW41 459 SW 13 4934 P 04/28-07 51 0 31 64 S 6 1 1524 SW 17 32628 P 04/28-08 51 0 34 56 S 7 1 2590 SW 23 60322 G 04/28-09 51 0 37 49 S 7 7 2 1 SW35 3655 SW 28 88016 G 04/28-10 51 0 41 43 S 8 1 4255 SW 28 103145 V 04/28-11 51 0 44 38 S 9 1 4855 SW 28 118274 V 04/28-12 70 10 46 35 S 10 10 3 2 SW31 5454 SW 28 133402 V 04/28-13 70 10 47 33 S 10 2 5510 SW 28 129697 V 04/28-14 70 10 48 32 S 10 2 5565 SW 26 125992 V 04/28-15 70 10 49 32 S 9 9 2 2 SW18 5621 SW 25 122287 V 04/28-16 70 10 49 32 S 8 2 5580 SW 25 125449 V 04/28-17 70 10 48 33 S 8 2 5540 SW 26 128612 V 04/28-18 70 10 47 41 S 7 7 2 1 SW29 5500 SW 28 131774 V 04/28-19 70 10 45 44 S 6 1 4111 SW 25 95345 G 04/28-20 70 10 42 49 S 6 1 2722 SW 22 58916 F 04/28-21 70 10 39 55 S 6 6 2 1 SW37 1333 SW 20 22487 P 04/28-22 70 10 36 58 S 7 1 971 SW 18 16074 P 04/28-23 70 10 35 59 SW 8 1 608 SW 16 9662 P 04/29-00 49 0 34 59 SW 9 9 2 1 SW31 245 SW 15 3250 P 04/29-01 49 0 32 61 SW 10 1 224 SW 15 2960 P 04/29-02 49 0 31 62 SW 10 1 202 SW 15 2671 P 04/29-03 49 0 31 62 SW 12 12 2 1 S25 180 SW 15 2381 P 04/29-04 49 0 30 62 SW 12 1 194 SW 16 2628 P 04/29-05 49 0 30 62 W 13 1 207 W 16 2874 P 04/29-06 49 0 30 61 W 13 13 2 1 SW48 221 W 16 3121 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...CRAIG BROUWER REASON FOR REQUEST...SAR .TAG 20090426.ELKRE.01/BOU