FNUS71 KBGM 271223 FWSBGM SPOT FORECAST FOR HARDYTOWN FIRE...DCNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY 823 AM EDT MON APR 27 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0748 EDT ON APRIL 27. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL STRENGTHEN OVER THE AREA AND GIVE US ANOTHER HOT DRY DAY. LIGHT WINDS THIS MORNING WINDS WILL BE SOUTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH WITH A FEW HIGHER GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH. RH VALUES WILL LOWER TO CLOSE TO 20 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON. ON TUESDAY, A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING BRINGING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER AIR IS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88. MIN HUMIDITY........22 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3200 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 9600 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...DECREASING TO 7500 FT AGL LATE. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 TO 24 MPH. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (15600 KNOT-FT)...INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (97800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).............0 16 14 11 9 5 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................59 65 76 83 87 87 RH..................67 56 36 27 22 22 20 FT WIND..........NE 1 N 1 SW 2 SW 5 SW 6 SW 6 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 10 10 10 EYE LEVEL WIND......NE 1 N 1 SW 2 SW 4 SW 5 SW 5 EYE LVL WND GST..... 5 10 10 10 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 5 5 5 VRATE KT-FT/1000....16 16 16 16 98 98 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56. MAX HUMIDITY........67-80 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......7500 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300-900 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 24 TO 33 MPH. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (52800-97800 KNOT-FT). EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............4 0 0 0 0 4 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................85 78 70 65 61 58 RH..................25 33 47 58 67 72 20 FT WIND..........SW 6 SW 5 SW 5 SW 4 SW 2 SW 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 5 5 5 EYE LEVEL WIND......SW 4 SW 4 SW 4 SW 3 SW 2 SW 2 EYE LVL WND GST.....10 10 5 5 5 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 5 5 5 VRATE KT-FT/1000....98 98 98 98 53 53 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85. MIN HUMIDITY........26-33 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 9100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 26 TO 30 MPH. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1500...THEN 3. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (52800-94200 KNOT-FT). EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 15 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............4 0 10 15 18 36 WEATHER COV......... CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR TEMP................56 59 69 78 83 85 RH..................80 80 55 37 28 26 20 FT WIND..........SW 2 SW 2 W 6 W 9 W 10 SW 9 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 10 25 25 25 EYE LEVEL WIND......SW 2 SW 2 W 4 W 7 W 7 SW 7 EYE LVL WND GST.....5 5 10 25 25 25 LAL.................1 3 3 3 3 3 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 4 VRATE KT-FT/1000....53 53 53 53 94 94 $$ FORECASTER...MORFORD REQUESTED BY...MIKE ROCHE TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20090427.HARDY.01/BGM